Nacional – Braga

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal – Matchday 6 – September 20, 2024

Statistical Analysis

Nacional has shown mediocre performance this season, with mostly weaker results against stronger teams, such as the 1-6 loss to Sporting CP. Their 2-0 home win against Farense was an exception, but it’s important to note that it came against a weaker opponent. The defense has been vulnerable on several occasions, conceding nine goals in five matches, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game.

Braga‘s form has been inconsistent, but their attack has been more productive, especially in the Europa League. According to the statistics (xG – 5.2 and npxG – 5.2), they create many chances, though their efficiency is mixed: they have scored just five goals in the league, which is below expectations. Players like Rodrigo Zalazar and Gabri Martínez play an active role in their attacks, and more chances are expected from them in the upcoming match.

Expert Opinions

Based on the analysis, Braga arrives with greater motivation, as they need a win in the league, especially after the surprise loss to Vitória. Nacional’s home form is not strong enough to pose a serious threat to Braga’s attacking force.

Medium-risk tip:

  1. Braga to win (65-70%) – Based on statistics and recent matches, Braga is in better form, particularly in attack. Their away results are stable, and they are motivated to secure a victory.

Odds: 1.75 – Safe Kelly: 2%

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