Fluminense – Atletico-MG

Fluminense

The Fluminense team has displayed strong attacking and defensive statistics in the Copa Libertadores. With an average xG (expected goals) of 1.44 goals per match, they have a good chance of scoring, especially at home, where they can put significant pressure on the opposition. Their midfield play can be very passive, which is effective in terms of ball possession and attack building. We can expect goals from Germán Cano, who boasts an xG per match of 0.27. Their defensive line is relatively stable, conceding an average of 0.96 goals per match, supported by goalkeeper Fábio’s 75.9% save efficiency.

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro has an extremely efficient attacking game. With 6 goals and an xG of 0.88 per match, Paulinho is one of the most dangerous players on the field. Hulk and Gustavo Scarpa also play key roles in the attack, with Scarpa contributing three assists and three goals. Their defensive statistics are equally impressive, with a stable backline conceding only 0.87 goals per match. Goalkeeper Everson supports them with a 66.7% save efficiency.

Human Analysis and Motivation

Experts point out that both teams are highly motivated, as the Copa Libertadores quarterfinals carry immense significance. Fluminense holds a home advantage, and they tend to perform better in front of their home crowd, especially with their strong defense. However, Atlético Mineiro has several attacking weapons capable of breaking down Fluminense’s defense.

Medium-Risk Tip:

  1. Both Teams to Score
    • Both teams have strong attacking lines, and based on the statistics, both are capable of scoring goals. Fluminense has an xG of 1.44, while Atlético Mineiro boasts an xG of 2.00. Furthermore, both teams have frequently scored in previous matches.

Odds: 2.5 – Safe Kelly: 1%

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