FRANCE: Ligue 1 – Round 11
Statistical Summary
- Form and Goal Scoring: Monaco’s current form is stronger, showing a stable defense (average GA90 0.7) and a high attacking potential, having scored 29 goals so far this season. In contrast, Strasbourg is less effective in attack and concedes more goals per game (GA90 1.9), reflecting an unstable defense.
- Shot Accuracy and Efficiency: Monaco’s players, such as Balogun and Embolo, show high shooting intensity (Balogun: 4.93 Sh/90), though their accuracy varies (33.1% SoT). Strasbourg’s main players, like Andrey Santos and Emegha, demonstrate lower shooting frequency and accuracy, further diminishing their attacking potential.
- Passing and Possession: Midfield play is significant for both teams’ passing strategies. Strasbourg’s Doué and Bakwa maintain strong pass accuracy, ensuring a stable midfield presence. Meanwhile, Monaco is more active in passing, with higher progressive passes (491 PrgP), primarily provided by Zakaria and Camara.
- Attack Building and Creativity: Monaco is more productive in the attacking third (SCA: 19.90), thanks to players like Minamino and Ben Seghir, who bring creativity and effectiveness in creating scoring opportunities. For Strasbourg, only a few key players like Nanasi and Bakwa significantly contribute to chance creation.
- Defense and Yellow Cards: Strasbourg commits more fouls and receives more yellow cards (22 CrdY), which could leave them vulnerable to Monaco’s quick attacks. Moreover, Strasbourg’s defensive stats are lower, with more missed defensive actions.
Suggested Betting Tips (Low and Medium Risk)
Low-Risk Tip:
- Monaco Draw No Bet (Asian Handicap 0) – Probability: ~70%
- Based on Monaco’s stable attack and defense metrics, along with Strasbourg’s defensive weaknesses, a Monaco win is the most likely outcome. If the result is a draw, our stake is refunded. Given Monaco’s current form, this is a low-risk bet.
Odds: 1.53 – Safe Kelly: 4%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- Over 3.5 Yellow Cards in the Match – Probability: ~65%
- Based on Strasbourg’s playing style and foul statistics, several cards are expected.