🇩🇪 Union Berlin – Freiburg

Bundesliga

After a thorough analysis of the statistical indicators for Union Berlin and Freiburg, several factors are worth considering:

1. Goals and Expected Goals (xG):
   • Union Berlin’s matches generally see fewer goals, especially at home. Their xG values are usually lower, and although they have standout players in attack, such as Benedict Hollerbach and Tom Rothe, the team average xG of 1.47 doesn’t reflect high offensive efficiency.
   • For Freiburg, Ritsu Doan and Vincenzo Grifo stand out in terms of goals and assists, and their xG values are also stronger. Freiburg’s average xG of 2.56 suggests a more dynamic offensive play.
   Tip: Under 2.5 goals – Medium risk (60%) Kelly 1% Odds:1.68
2. Number of Corners:
   • Both teams tend to be defensive and do not completely dominate in attack. Union Berlin has a lower total number of corners, but Freiburg, primarily through Doan and Grifo, generates more.
   • Union Berlin allows fewer corners at home, indicating a more controlled defense, while Freiburg tends to push more in the offensive phase, hence more corners are expected.
   Tip: Freiburg over 4.5 corners – Low risk (65%) Kelly 2% Odds:1.96

This analysis considers both statistical data and expert opinions, focusing more on lower-risk options, which may be more favorable from a betting perspective.