Brasileiro Match
Vitória Statistics The Vitória team is going through a challenging period in the 2024 season, with recent statistics showing poor performance. Their overall goal difference is -11, indicating they have conceded more goals than they have scored. The team has scored 19 goals and conceded 30 in 18 matches, averaging 1.67 goals conceded per match. In attack, Willian is one of the key players, having scored 5 goals. Their xG (expected goals) is 18.2, while their opponents’ xGA (expected goals against) is 24.5, showing that the team concedes more goals than statistically expected.
Flamengo Statistics On the other hand, Flamengo is in much better form. Their overall xG (expected goals) is 25.4, while their xGA (expected goals against) is 15.6, indicating a positive difference. Pedro is particularly outstanding, having scored 9 goals this season with an xG of 2.2. The team’s defense is also solid, conceding only 16 goals in 18 matches.
Analysis and Insights
Form and Trends Vitória’s recent losses and low number of goals scored reflect the team’s poor form. In contrast, Flamengo consistently performs well, with efficient attackers and a stable defense.
Attacks and Defense Vitória’s attack is mainly built around Willian, who has scored 5 goals, but the gap between xG and actual goals shows that the team fails to capitalize on their chances. In defense, Wagner and Lucas Esteves show some stability, but it is not enough to prevent opponents from scoring.
Flamengo’s attacks are much more effective, with Pedro and Luiz Araújo delivering outstanding performances. In defense, Fabrício Bruno and Ayrton Lucas play crucial roles, supported by the low number of goals conceded.
Players and Expert Opinions Experts believe Flamengo’s motivation and tactical preparation are at a much higher level compared to Vitória. Individual performances also reflect this, with Flamengo players consistently performing at a high level, while Vitória players often struggle with form and efficiency.
Injuries and Expected Lineups According to expert analyses, Flamengo is less affected by injuries, whereas Vitória is forced to play without some key players. This further increases Flamengo’s chances of winning.
Suggested Betting Tips
Low-Risk Tip
- Flamengo to Win (1.83x) – Based on Flamengo’s current form, attacking efficiency, and solid defense, this is a low-risk bet. (Low Risk)
Medium-Risk Tips 2. Pedro to Score (2.21x) – Given Pedro’s performance and Vitória’s weak defense, this is a medium-risk bet that Pedro will score. (Medium Risk)
- Over 1.5 Goals in the Match (Low Risk 1.35x), Over 2.5 Goals (Medium Risk 2.10x) – Considering Flamengo’s attacking efficiency and Vitória’s weak defense, it is expected that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match. (Medium Risk)
Analysis and Explanation Flamengo’s victory is the safest bet for the match, considering the team’s current form and statistical indicators. Pedro’s goal is also likely as he is one of the team’s most productive attackers. The possibility of more than 2.5 goals is also realistic, given both teams tend to score and concede multiple goals.