EUROPE: Champions League – Group Stage – Round 8
Team Stats
- VfB Stuttgart:
- Average 1.43 goals scored per match but concede 1.86 goals. Their xG (expected goals) is 1.68, while their xGA (expected goals against) is 1.98, indicating weaknesses in defense.
- Most often use the 4-2-3-1 formation, which is more attack-oriented.
- At home, they’ve only won one match in the group stage, although they had higher possession (71% in their last home game).
- Paris Saint-Germain (PSG):
- Average 1.57 goals scored and only concede 1.14 goals. Their xG is higher (2.0), reflecting strong attacking play.
- PSG also favors a 4-3-3 formation, which offers an attacking and dynamic style.
- Show poor away performance, having won only 2 out of 13 matches in Germany.
Player Stats
- VfB Stuttgart:
- Enzo Millot has been outstanding with 2 goals and 3 assists in the Champions League.
- Alexander Nübel (goalkeeper) boasts strong stats with 13 saves.
- The team has young talents but could be weakened by injuries and suspensions (e.g., Anthony Rouault’s suspension).
- PSG:
- Joao Neves and Ousmane Dembélé stand out for their creativity and attacking performances.
- Achraf Hakimi plays a crucial role in both defense and starting attacking moves.
- Defense is solid, led by Marquinhos (57.7% aerial duel success).
Surprises and Insights
- Stuttgart tends to underperform at home in international competitions but has a positive record against French teams.
- PSG has dropped an unusual number of points away but could gain momentum from their victory against Man City.
Low-Risk Tips:
- Total Goals: Over 2 (Asian Total) (Probability: 71.5%)
- Both teams tend to play high-scoring matches. Stuttgart’s defense is vulnerable, and PSG can capitalize on that.
- Odds: 1.55 – Kelly: 4%
- Both Teams to Score (Probability: 63%)
- Stuttgart’s home attack has improved, while PSG’s frontline is steady.
- Both teams have played multiple high-scoring matches recently.
- Odds: 1.70 – Kelly: 2%
Summary
- Stuttgart’s main weaknesses lie in their defense, especially with Anthony Rouault’s absence. PSG has a stronger squad but struggles with away form.
- The match could be decisive for playoff positions, promising high intensity.