Strasbourg – Marseille

FRANCE: Ligue 1 – Round 6 – September 30, 2024

Strasbourg Statistical Data and Performance

Strasbourg has shown stable form this season, with 2 wins and 3 draws in 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 goals per game while conceding the same number. In their attacking lineup, Emanuel Emegha stands out, having scored 3 goals in 5 matches with an xG of 3.0. Based on expected goals (xG), Strasbourg’s attack is balanced but not outstanding, averaging 1.96 expected goals per match. The defense is relatively vulnerable, conceding 10 goals in 5 matches, and the opponents’ expected goals are also around 2.00 per match.

Strasbourg’s midfield and attacking sections are filled with strong left-footed players like Andrey Santos and Sebastian Nanasi, who play key roles in key passes and assists. Strasbourg builds its attacks with many progressive passes and runs, but their defense is lacking, especially in midfield and on the flanks.

Marseille Statistical Data and Performance

Marseille appears to be the more dominant team, winning 4 out of 5 matches and scoring 14 goals. Their xG is 7.7, indicating a higher attacking potential than Strasbourg’s. Their defense is also more stable, conceding only 6 goals, and their opponents have averaged just 1.2 xG against them per match.

Mason Greenwood has been particularly dangerous, scoring 5 goals already and having an xG of 2.0. Marseille plays fast and technical football, attacking with a lot of passes and dribbling. Luis Henrique and Amine Harit are also strong attackers capable of creating goals and assists. In defense, Gerónimo Rulli performs excellently in goal, with a 73.9% save rate. Marseille is capable of controlling matches with high ball possession (averaging 55%) and efficiently transitioning from defense to attack.

Teams Comparison and Outcome

Strasbourg plays at home, which could give them some advantage, but statistical data suggests that Marseille is the stronger team. Marseille scores more goals and concedes fewer, while Strasbourg’s defense is more vulnerable. However, Strasbourg could be more stable at home, especially in a physically tough match.

Marseille seems more motivated, aiming for the championship or international cup positions, while Strasbourg is more focused on securing a mid-table position. Both teams have the potential to score with Emegha and Greenwood in their lineups.

Low risk:

  1. Marseille win with draw no bet (Asian 0) – Marseille performs well even away (3 wins), and their attack is highly effective. Strasbourg has been vulnerable at home in the past.

Odds: 1.67 – Safe Kelly: 5%

  1. Marseille over 1.5 goals – Marseille averages 2.8 goals per match and is expected to score more against Strasbourg’s defense.

Odds: 1.88 – Safe Kelly: 2%

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