Argentine Primera Division
Racing Club Statistics
Racing Club’s performance in the 2024 season has been mixed. In their 5 matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 goals and conceding 6, resulting in a +6 goal difference. Their xG (expected goals) is 8.0, while their xGA (expected goals against) is 3.8, indicating that the team is performing at or above expectations.
Key Players:
- Roger Martínez: Scored 3 goals in 5 matches, with an xG of 1.3, indicating he is converting his chances efficiently.
- Maximiliano Salas: 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 matches, with an xG of 2.1, suggesting his finishing could improve.
- Gastón Martirena: 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches, with an xG of 0.4, showing excellent finishing.
Godoy Cruz Statistics
Godoy Cruz has recorded 2 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches, conceding only 3 goals while scoring 2. Their xG is 4.4, while their xGA is 4.3, indicating strong defense but underperformance in attack.
Key Players:
- Silvio Ulariaga: 1 goal in 4 matches, with an xG of 1.7, indicating potential for better performance.
- Vicente Poggi: 1 goal in 4 matches, with an xG of 0.4, showing good finishing.
Match Analysis
Statistical Data:
- Racing Club’s attacking statistics are strong, with 12 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per match.
- Godoy Cruz’s defense is solid, conceding only 3 goals in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 goals per match.
Motivation and Team Form:
- Racing Club is likely motivated, playing at home and in good attacking form.
- Godoy Cruz’s strong defense could challenge Racing, especially if Racing cannot score early goals.
Absences and Expected Lineups:
- Roger Martínez will be crucial for Racing Club, while Pier Barrios and Federico Rasmussen provide stability in Godoy Cruz’s defense.
Betting Recommendations
Low Risk:
- Racing Club win (1.58x) – Low risk. Racing Club is favored due to home advantage and attacking strength.
Medium Risk: 2. Godoy Cruz under 1.5 goals (1.18x) – Medium risk. Racing’s strong defense and Godoy Cruz’s low attacking efficiency suggest fewer goals for Godoy Cruz. 3. Racing Club over 1.5 goals (1.83x) – Medium risk. Based on their performance, Racing is likely to score more than one goal.
Summary
Racing Club is the favorite, particularly due to home advantage and their attacking form. Based on statistical data and team motivation, Racing Club winning and scoring more than 1.5 goals seems the safest bet. Godoy Cruz’s defense, however, could pose a challenge, so a clean s