ENGLAND: Championship – Round 16
Detailed Analysis
Team Statistics
Plymouth Argyle:
- Outstanding home form: 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 home matches, showcasing significant strength.
- Weak away performance: Only 2 points collected away from home all season, limiting their chances against Watford away.
- Low xG in away games, such as only 0.1 xG against QPR, indicating their attack is less threatening on the road.
Watford:
- Unpredictable away form: Despite only 2 away wins, one was a massive 6-2 victory against Sheffield Wednesday.
- Improved defense recently: Only 2 goals conceded in their last 3 league matches.
- Key players returning: Moussa Sissoko and Francisco Sierralta’s availability boosts their squad significantly.
Player Statistics
- Plymouth key players: Morgan Whittaker stands out with 3 goals and 46 ball recoveries. Bali Mumba contributes in both defense and attack (65 recoveries, 1 assist).
- Watford key players: Edo Kayembe is effective with 5 goals, Giorgi Chakvetadze adds creativity with 3 assists, and Matthew Pollock excels in aerial duels (77% success rate).
Surprising Statistics
- Watford’s 6-2 away win shows their potential for high-impact performances even away.
- Plymouth’s home xG is significantly higher than their away xG, supporting expert analyses.
Low-Risk Bets
- Both teams to score (63.57% probability):
- Based on Plymouth’s home form and Watford’s attacking potential, this is realistic.
- Over 2.5 goals (61.86% probability):
- Both teams have shown they can produce high-scoring matches.
Summary
Statistics and analysis indicate a tight but thrilling match. Plymouth’s home dominance faces Watford’s attacking power, especially considering the return of key players.