Moreirense – Benfica

Portugal: LIGA PORTUGAL – Matchday 4

Moreirense Key Statistics:

• Goals: The team has scored 6 goals in 3 matches, showcasing the efficiency of the forwards, particularly Luismi, who has already scored 3 goals.
• Defense: The defense is relatively stable, but the 3-1 loss against Braga highlighted some weaknesses. The team has conceded 5 goals in 3 matches, indicating vulnerability against a strong attacking team like Benfica.
• Attack: Forwards like Luismi and Madson, who have been effective so far, will be key players in the match against Benfica.

Benfica Key Statistics:

• Defense: Benfica has conceded only 2 goals in 3 matches and has kept a clean sheet twice. This reflects the efficiency of goalkeeper Trubin and the defense.
• Attack: Benfica has scored 4 goals in 3 matches, which is not outstanding, but the team is effective in building attacks. Pavlidis and Aursnes could be key players in the attack.
• XG and XGA: Benfica’s xG (expected goals) is higher than their goals conceded, indicating that the team creates more chances than they concede, which is an advantage against Moreirense.

Motivation and Tactical Analysis:
This match is crucial for Benfica as they need to secure points away from home to keep their title defense on track. Experts emphasize that the team’s motivation is strong and that they cannot afford to drop points against a lower-tier team. For Moreirense, this match is also important, but they are likely to focus more on defense and counterattacks.

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Benfica Win (Low Risk)
   • Odds: 1.5 – Kelly: 2%
   • Based on statistics and Benfica’s strengths, it is likely that Benfica will win the match. With the team’s stable defense and attacking potential, this tip is considered safe.
2. Over 2 Goals in the Match (Asian Total, if 2 goals are scored, the bet is refunded; the bet wins if at least 3 goals are scored) Low Risk
   • Odds: 1.4 – Kelly: 2%
   • Both teams are strong in scoring, especially Moreirense at home. Benfica is also capable of scoring, so it is likely that at least three goals will be scored in the match.