12/05/2024
Taking into account the statistics of Manchester United and Arsenal this year and the analysis of the matches, we can identify several low-risk betting opportunities.
1) Total number of goals scored (over/under):
Our low-risk tip is for the number of goals in the match, where “over 1.5 goals” seems to be the safest choice. Manchester United’s goals against average in the league is 1.49, while Arsenal’s is 1.54. Based on both teams’ defensive statistics (Manchester United’s goals conceded: 1.57, Arsenal’s: 1.49 per game), we can expect a close, low-scoring match that will be more tactical in nature. The analysis also suggests that both teams’ well-organised defences will result in a low number of goals, but a number higher than 1.5. Risk: low.
2) Asian handicap:
The other recommended tip is Arsenal +0.5 Asian handicap. Arsenal’s performance this season has been more stable than Manchester United’s, which has shown a fluctuating form. Based on the statistics, Arsenal are in generally better form than the home side and should be able to at least draw the match. Arsenal’s performances in away matches this season and the key role of critical players like Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard strengthen this tip. Risk: low.
3) Player performance:
Bruno Fernandes scores at any time. The Portuguese midfielder is one of the team’s most consistent goalscorers, with 10 goals and 7 assists this season. According to analysis and statistics, Fernandes plays a key role in Manchester United’s attacks and he mostly finishes the team’s attacks. Some weaknesses in Arsenal’s defence (especially in the midfield defending) could be exploited by Fernandes. Risk: medium!
These tips are based on the teams’ current form, the performances of their key players and defensive statistics. Both teams have strong defences, but Arsenal’s attacking prowess and Manchester United’s home performance justify the betting tips above.