EUROPE: Europa League – Group Stage – Round 6
Team and Player Statistics
Malmö:
- Team Level:
Malmö performs well in the Swedish Allsvenskan league but struggles internationally. In their last five Europa League matches, they recorded one win and four losses. A weak point is their defense: they conceded seven goals in three matches.- Possession: High, reaching 69% in one match.
- Key Player: Erik Botheim, who has scored 3 goals in the Europa League. He is one of their main attacking threats.
- Player Level:
- Erik Botheim: 365 minutes played and 3 goals scored.
- Colin Rosler: Excellent aerial duels (63.6% success rate).
- Injuries: Pontus Jansson and Sead Haksabanovic are absent, significantly weakening both defense and attack.
Galatasaray:
- Team Level:
Galatasaray is in one of their best forms this season, remaining unbeaten in 17 matches. They are also undefeated in the Europa League and possess a strong attacking lineup.- Possession: Averages between 60-75%.
- Key Player: Victor Osimhen, with 10 goals this season. However, due to the absence of Mauro Icardi and Baris Yilmaz, Michy Batshuayi is expected to play a larger role.
- Player Level:
- Yunus Akgün: 4 goals in the Europa League, a versatile attacker.
- Lucas Torreira: A solid defensive midfielder with a 100% aerial duel success rate.
Recommended Betting Tips
Low-Risk Tip
- Galatasaray – Draw No Bet (Asian Handicap 0):
- Probability: 70%.
- Explanation: Galatasaray’s form is stable, and Malmö struggles internationally.
Odds: 1.56 – Kelly: 3%
Medium-Risk Tip
- Over 2.5 Goals in the Match:
- Probability: 58.83%.
- Explanation: Based on the average of their previous matches, a high-scoring game is expected.
Odds: 1.52 – Kelly: 1%
Interesting Facts
- Malmö had 69% possession in one Europa League match but still lost.
- Galatasaray is on a 17-match unbeaten streak, but the absence of Mauro Icardi limits their attacking options.
- Malmö often dominated home games in 2024 but failed to convert this into success internationally.
Summary
Galatasaray enters the match in better form, but Malmö can still deliver surprises on home turf. From a betting perspective, low-risk options such as “both teams to score” are the safest. Medium-risk bets may become interesting if Malmö performs unexpectedly well.