SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 11
Before the match between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao, I conducted a thorough analysis of both teams’ performances and statistics. Special attention was given to goals, assists, shots on target, expected goals (xG), and defensive metrics.
Mallorca Analysis:
- Mallorca is currently performing steadily, with several players showing exceptional form. Dani Rodríguez and Vedat Muriqi stand out with their goals and assists.
- The team’s play heavily relies on midfielders like Samu Costa and Sergi Darder, who play an active role in playmaking.
- The team’s defensive stats are average, with key players like Antonio Raillo and Pablo Maffeo playing critical roles.
Athletic Bilbao Analysis:
- Athletic Bilbao has strong attacking power, with Iñaki Williams and Oihan Sancet being particularly impressive. Williams not only scores goals but also contributes with assists.
- Defenders like Daniel Vivian and Aitor Paredes perform consistently, though the team’s number of conceded goals could ideally be lower.
- Based on the difference between expected goals (xG) and actual goals, Bilbao is more efficient at capitalizing on opportunities than its opponents.
Low-Risk Tips:
- Athletic Bilbao Over 0.5 Goals – Based on statistics, Athletic Bilbao shows stronger scoring ability when comparing xG values to actual goals, making this the safest bet for this match.
Odds: 1.42 – Safe Kelly: 3%
- Over 1.5 Goals in the Match – Given both teams’ playing styles and recent results, at least two goals are likely to be scored.
Odds: 1.53 – Safe Kelly: 3%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- First Half Draw – Both teams tend to draw in the first halves, reflecting their cautious play styles. Based on the statistics, this is a reasonable medium-risk bet.
Odds: 1.86 – Safe Kelly: 1%
Conclusions:
According to statistical data and expert analysis, both teams are expected to play actively, which increases the likelihood of multiple goals and an exciting match.