Mallorca – Athletic Bilbao

SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 11

Before the match between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao, I conducted a thorough analysis of both teams’ performances and statistics. Special attention was given to goals, assists, shots on target, expected goals (xG), and defensive metrics.

Mallorca Analysis:

  • Mallorca is currently performing steadily, with several players showing exceptional form. Dani Rodríguez and Vedat Muriqi stand out with their goals and assists.
  • The team’s play heavily relies on midfielders like Samu Costa and Sergi Darder, who play an active role in playmaking.
  • The team’s defensive stats are average, with key players like Antonio Raillo and Pablo Maffeo playing critical roles.

Athletic Bilbao Analysis:

  • Athletic Bilbao has strong attacking power, with Iñaki Williams and Oihan Sancet being particularly impressive. Williams not only scores goals but also contributes with assists.
  • Defenders like Daniel Vivian and Aitor Paredes perform consistently, though the team’s number of conceded goals could ideally be lower.
  • Based on the difference between expected goals (xG) and actual goals, Bilbao is more efficient at capitalizing on opportunities than its opponents.

Low-Risk Tips:

  1. Athletic Bilbao Over 0.5 Goals – Based on statistics, Athletic Bilbao shows stronger scoring ability when comparing xG values to actual goals, making this the safest bet for this match.

Odds: 1.42 – Safe Kelly: 3%

  1. Over 1.5 Goals in the Match – Given both teams’ playing styles and recent results, at least two goals are likely to be scored.

Odds: 1.53 – Safe Kelly: 3%

Medium-Risk Tip:

  1. First Half Draw – Both teams tend to draw in the first halves, reflecting their cautious play styles. Based on the statistics, this is a reasonable medium-risk bet.

Odds: 1.86 – Safe Kelly: 1%

Conclusions:

According to statistical data and expert analysis, both teams are expected to play actively, which increases the likelihood of multiple goals and an exciting match.

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