AUSTRIA: Bundesliga – Round 11
LASK and Sturm Graz meet in the Bundesliga’s Sunday round, with both teams currently on a four-game unbeaten streak. Sturm Graz won their last league match at home, defeating Grazer AK 5-2, extending their unbeaten streak to four matches (3 wins, 1 draw), placing them at the top of the table with 22 points, one point ahead of Rapid after the first 10 matches. LASK currently sits in seventh place with 13 points from 10 matches and secured a 2-1 victory over WSG Tirol at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in their latest Bundesliga match, thus reinforcing their own four-game unbeaten streak (3 wins, 1 draw).
Last season, the two teams drew 2-2 at Raiffeisen Arena. Florian Flecker and Marin Ljubicic were the scorers for LASK, while Otar Kiteishvili scored twice for Sturm Graz. Mika Biereth has been outstanding for Sturm Graz this season, with eight goals, including two match-opening goals, leading the league’s scoring chart. Ljubicic has also been notable for LASK, leading the team with four goals, one of which was the opening goal of the match.
LASK has won two and lost three of their five home Bundesliga games this season. Sturm Graz has gained seven out of a possible 12 points from their away matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), with their last away loss occurring on August 4 against Rapid. Over the last six league games, LASK has recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses, while Sturm has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss.
Low-Risk Betting Tips:
- Both Teams to Score – Low Risk: Both teams have strong attacking lines and have consistently scored against each other in recent encounters. This tip is especially valid given Biereth’s and Ljubicic’s current form.
Odds: 1.56 – Safe Kelly: 3%
- Over 2.5 Goals in the Match – Low Risk: Both Sturm Graz and LASK have been scoring in recent games, and their previous encounters have often been high-scoring affairs.
Odds: 1.67 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Betting Tip:
- Mika Biereth to Score – Medium Risk: Biereth has scored eight goals this season and leads the scoring chart, including scoring the opening goal twice.
Odds: 2.57 – Safe Kelly: 0.5%
I can’t estimate probability percentages since they depend on market odds and other variables. However, the above tips are statistically grounded and realistic, considering the current form of the teams.