Juventus – Monza

25/04/2024

When analysing the Juventus-Monza match, a combination of statistics and human expert opinion can highlight several key points that can help predict the outcome of the match.

Juventus

1. Attacking Efficiency: Juventus’ attacking line, especially with Dušan Vlahović and Federico Chiesa, is powerful. Vlahović has contributed 16 goals and 4 assists to the team’s performance, while Chiesa has 8 goals and 2 assists. Vlahović is particularly outstanding, as his xG (16.6) and actual goals (16) are in close alignment, showing the effectiveness of his positional play.
2. Defence Stability: the Juventus defence, led by Gleison Bremer and Wojciech Szczęsny, is solid. Bremer has conceded just 3 goals in 35.9 games, while Szczęsny has conceded 30 goals in 35 games, an average of 0.86 goals per game. Juventus’ defence has finished the season with 31 goals conceded in Serie A, one of the best defensive records in the league.
3. Midfield Play: Adrien Rabiot and Manuel Locatelli play a major role in the team’s midfield play. Rabiot registered 5 goals and 3 assists, while Locatelli provided 4 assists. In total, the two players have completed over 6,700 passes in midfield, a key element in the team’s stability and control of its passing game.

Monza

1. Attacking Efficiency: the Monza attacking line showed variable performance. Andrea Colpani and Dany Mota both contributed to the attack, Colpani with 8 goals and 4 assists, while Mota had 4 goals and 3 assists. Colpani’s xG (4.7) and real goals (8) show that he is making good use of his situations.
2. Defensive solidity: Monza’s defence, led by Pablo Marí and Luca Caldirola, was average. Marí has played in 33 games and has just 0.7 xG+xAG, showing that he launches few attacks. Caldirola played in 29 matches and scored 1 goal. However, their defensive efficiency is not as high as Juventus.
3. Goalkeeper Performance: Michele Di Gregorio has defended in 33 matches and has a total of 0.0 xG, which shows that he has not scored any goals, but his defensive efficiency is average.

Tip offers

1. Juventus win (Low risk):

• Strengths: Juventus play at home and had a strong home performance last season (52 points in 37 home games). Monza’s away performance is weaker and Juventus’ defence is more solid.
• Stat. Data: Juventus xG: 53.7, Monza xGA: 55.4.
• Motivation: victory is important for Juventus to maintain their position in the league.

1. Goal scored by Dušan Vlahović (Medium risk):

• Pros: Vlahović is one of the best scorers in the team and has scored 16 goals this season. His current form is good and Monza’s defence is not the strongest.
• Stat. Data: xG of Vlahovic: 16.6, real goals: 16.
• Motivation: motivated by Vlahović’s individual performance and desire to become a top scorer.

1. Both teams score a goal (Medium risk):

• Pros: Juventus’ attacking power is strong, but Monza can also score goals, especially through Colpani, who has scored 8 goals this season.
• Stat. Data: Juventus xGA: 29.4, Monza xG: 38.9.
• Motivation: points are important for both teams, especially for Monza to avoid relegation.

Summary

The match between Juventus and Monza clearly shows the superiority of Juventus, based on statistics and individual performances of the players. Juventus have a strong attacking and defensive line, while Monza have a mixed performance. Based on the statistics and expert analysis, a Juventus win seems the safest bet, complemented by Vlahović scoring and both teams scoring.