EUROPE: Conference League – Group Stage – Round 6
📊 Team Statistics
Guimarães Team Statistics:
- Attacking Strength:
- An average of over 2 goals per match in the Conference League.
- 120 shots this season, showing exceptional offensive activity.
- In the last match, they had 30 shots, more than 15 on target.
- Defense:
- xGA (expected goals against) is low, indicating a solid defense.
- Injuries in defense: The absence of Toni Borevkovic and Bruno Gaspar may be significant.
Fiorentina Team Statistics:
- Attacking Ability:
- A 7-0 victory in the Conference League highlights their strong attack.
- Jonathan Ikone leads the team with 4 goals in this competition.
- Form:
- The last 2 defeats (Empoli, Bologna) may indicate a loss of momentum for the team.
- Away defense is vulnerable: they have conceded goals in recent matches.
🧑💼 Player Statistics
Guimarães Players:
- Nelson Oliveira:
- Experienced striker, in good form in the Conference League.
- Nuno Santos:
- 2 assists in the last match, key in creating plays.
Fiorentina Players:
- Jonathan Ikone:
- 4 goals in the competition, especially effective on the international stage.
- Lucas Martínez Quarta:
- 2 goals as a defender, can be dangerous during set pieces.
📈 Trend Analysis
- Guimarães is unbeaten at home in the competition, with a strong attack and solid defense.
- Fiorentina’s away form is inconsistent, especially recently.
🔮 Betting Tips
✅ Low Risk Bet
- Guimarães or Draw (1X):
- Probability: 69%
- Reasoning: Guimarães is very strong at home, while Fiorentina has struggled away from home.
Odds: 1.60 – Kelly: 2%
⚖️ Medium Risk Bets
- Both Teams to Score:
- Probability: 48.17%
- Reasoning: Both teams have strong attacks and have performed well in previous matches.
Odds: 1.79 – Kelly: 1%
- Under 3 Goals (Asian Goal Line – our bet wins if fewer than 3 goals are scored, and the stake is returned if exactly 3 goals are scored).
Odds: 1.43 – Kelly: 1%
🧐 Interesting Facts
- Guimarães attempts more shots than any other team in the competition (120 shots).
- Fiorentina has suffered two defeats recently, casting doubt on their form.
- Expert analysis indicates Guimarães has a 42.07% chance of winning, suggesting a strong home advantage.