English Premier League Round 2 – August 24, 2024
Analysis: Fulham vs. Leicester City
The first round brought different results for the two teams: Fulham suffered a narrow defeat against Manchester United (0-1), while Leicester managed a 1-1 draw against Tottenham Hotspur after coming back from behind. Fulham has not started a season well at home for a long time, whereas Leicester generally performs well away from home, though they suffered a heavy defeat last time at Craven Cottage (5-3).
Comparison of Players and Statistics:
- Fulham:
- Fulham’s attacking statistics are not very convincing, generating only 0.4 xG against Manchester United, which supports experts’ analysis that the team struggled to create chances.
- The defense appeared stable, but it showed vulnerability at times, especially towards the end of the match.
- Among the key players, Andreas Pereira was the most active with 9 SCAs (shot-creating actions), but this was not enough to earn points.
- Leicester City:
- Leicester’s attacking strength was evident in Jamie Vardy, who scored and contributed a total of 1.0 xG for the team. Experts note that Vardy was the key figure for the team.
- The defense performed well against Tottenham, particularly goalkeeper Mads Hermansen, who made 5 saves, achieving an 83.3% save rate.
- Leicester’s strength also showed in midfield, where Wilfred Ndidi and Harry Winks dominated in passes and defensive actions.
Low-Risk Tips
- Number of Yellow Cards (Over 3.5):
odds, 1.66 – Kelly: 2%
Based on statistics and analysis, both teams tend to commit fouls. Fulham and Leicester played aggressively in the first round, and both teams collected yellow cards. Given that the match will likely be close, more tactical fouls are expected. Probability: 65-70%. - Draw No Bet Fulham (Asian Handicap 0):
odds, 1.38 – Kelly: 2%
Based on statistics and tactical analysis, Fulham’s win without a draw seems to be the safest option. The match outcome is close, but Fulham’s home advantage and defensive stability could be decisive. Probability: 55-60%.