ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 9
Starting with the Everton team, it’s essential to note that their performance has been inconsistent in the 2024-2025 Premier League season. Based on the xG (expected goals) and actual goals ratio, it is clear that Everton has conceded more goals than expected, with 15 conceded goals and an xGA (expected goals against) value of 13.2. This may suggest weak points in their defense that Fulham could exploit. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Dwight McNeil have been standout players, each scoring 3 goals, indicating they are in good form.
As for Fulham, Raúl Jiménez has been impressive, scoring 4 goals, with a high xG of 2.9. This indicates he is efficiently capitalizing on his chances. Fulham’s general playing style appears more attacking than Everton’s, which is also reflected in their xG values, which are overall higher than Everton’s.
Low-Risk Tips:
- Both Teams to Score (Yes) – Both Everton and Fulham have been able to score throughout the season, and both have conceded more goals than expected based on xGA. This seems like a low-risk tip, given the current form and defensive weaknesses of both teams.Odds: 1.68 – Safe Kelly: 2%
- Over 2 Goals in the Match (Asian Goal Line) – Goals have been a common feature in Everton and Fulham’s matches so far, as both teams struggle defensively, suggesting a goal-rich match.Odds: 1.43 – Safe Kelly: 4%
Analysis and Justification
Everton’s defensive statistics and the number of goals conceded show they have defensive problems, which Fulham’s attacking strength, especially with Jiménez’s presence, could exploit. Both teams struggle defensively, which justifies expecting a high-scoring match. Jiménez’s outstanding performance and high xG suggest he could be a key figure in this match.