ITALY: Serie A – Round 16
📊 Team Performance Analysis
🔵 Cagliari Team Statistics
- Goals Scored: Only 4 goals in 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals/match.
- xG (Expected Goals): The xG value was below 1 in most matches, indicating a lack of chances created.
- Defense: Conceded 9 goals in 5 matches. Their xGA (Expected Goals Against) averages around 1.7, reflecting weak defensive performance.
⚫ Atalanta Team Statistics
- Goals Scored: Scored 11 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals/match.
- xG: Consistently over 1.5 xG, showcasing their ability to create many chances.
- Defense: Conceded 6 goals in 5 matches. Their xGA is around 1.2, indicating more stable defensive performance.
🏃♂️ Highlighted Player Statistics
🔵 Cagliari Key Players
- Roberto Piccoli (Forward):
- Goals: 4
- Shots/Minute: Active, but the team creates few chances for him.
- Sebastiano Luperto (Defender):
- Defense: 52 ball recoveries, but Aerial Duels Won% is only 37%.
⚫ Atalanta Key Players
- Charles De Ketelaere and Ademola Lookman:
- Goals: Combined 6 goals in the last 5 matches.
- Creativity: Significant chance creation.
- Marten de Roon (Midfielder):
- Defense: 55 ball recoveries, with an aerial duel success rate of 61.8%.
🔍 Strengths and Weaknesses
| Team | Strengths | Weaknesses |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | Energetic defense, Piccoli’s activity | Few chances created, weak defense |
| Atalanta | Creative attack, De Ketelaere – Lookman | Fatigue due to a tight schedule |
💡 Betting Tips
✅ Low-Risk Tips
- Tip:Atalanta to Win
- Reason: Atalanta’s stable form and Cagliari’s weak defense make Atalanta the likely winner.
- Probability: 70%
Odds: 1.60 – Kelly: 4%
- Tip:Under 3.5 Goals in the match
- Reason: Cagliari scores few goals, and Atalanta tends to control matches.
- Probability: 65%
Odds: 1.52 – Kelly: 2%
⚠️ Medium-Risk Tips
- Tip:Ademola Lookman to Score
- Reason: Lookman is in good form, and Cagliari’s defense struggles on the flanks.
- Probability: 55%
Odds: 2.16 – Kelly: 0.5%
- Tip:Cagliari Over 1.5 Yellow Cards
- Reason: They commit many fouls against stronger teams.
- Probability: 60%
Odds: 1.70 – Kelly: 1%
🔥 Surprising Facts
- Atalanta’s Streak: If they win, it will be their 10th consecutive victory, a new club record.
- Cagliari vs. Atalanta History: No draws since 2013; in the last 18 matches, 10 wins for Atalanta and 8 wins for Cagliari.
Happy Betting! ⚽