ENGLAND: Premier League – Matchday 24
Team and Player Statistical Analysis
Bournemouth Team Performance
- Form: Bournemouth remains unbeaten in their last 11 PL matches, an outstanding achievement for a mid-table team.
- Attacking Power: The team scores 2.8 goals per match when Tyler Adams starts, but this drops to just 1.3 without him.
- Defense: They have kept a clean sheet in their last three home games.
- Absences: Evanilson and Enes Ünal remain unavailable, which may weaken their attacking play.
Liverpool Team Performance
- Form: Liverpool is unbeaten in 18 league matches. They are the only team in the PL yet to lose away from home.
- Attacking Power: Mohamed Salah is in outstanding form, having scored 19 goals so far this season.
- Defense: Joe Gomez may return from injury, while Diogo Jota is confirmed to miss the match.
- Playing Style: Liverpool employs a possession-based strategy, often regaining the ball in the attacking third.
Key Individual Statistics
Bournemouth Players
- Dango Ouattara: Scored a hat-trick in the last match.
- Antoine Semenyo: 7 goals and 3 assists, one of their most dangerous attackers.
- Illia Zabarnyi: High aerial duel win rate (53%), crucial for set-piece situations.
Liverpool Players
- Mohamed Salah: 19 goals, 13 assists – one of the top forwards this season.
- Trent Alexander-Arnold: 6 assists, a key player in building attacks.
- Virgil van Dijk: 68% aerial duel win rate, crucial in set-piece situations.
Betting Tips and Explanations
Low-Risk Bets
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes) – Probability: 57.91%
- Bournemouth has strong attacking play at home.
- Liverpool’s defense can be vulnerable, especially under pressure.
- Over 2.5 Goals in the Match – Probability: 55.38%
- Both teams play with an attacking mindset.
- 2 of the last 3 Bournemouth–Liverpool matches have had at least 3 goals.
Medium-Risk Bets
- Mohamed Salah to Score – Probability: 45%
- Salah has only scored once in his last 5 matches against Bournemouth, but he is in top form now.
Interesting Observations and Surprises
- Bournemouth is the best-performing PL team in the last 12 rounds.
- Tyler Adams is a key player – when he plays, Bournemouth scores more goals than average.
- Liverpool has strong aerial duel statistics – they can be dangerous from set-pieces.
Summary and Expected Outcomes
- Liverpool is the favorite, but Bournemouth is in great form.
- Both teams are expected to score.
- Salah or Ouattara might find the net.
- The depth of Liverpool’s bench could be a decisive factor, especially in the second half.