Botafogo – Internacional

Brasileiro match

Based on statistical data and expert analyses, I have thoroughly examined the upcoming match between Botafogo and Internacional. Below, I present the key points and the safest betting options for the match.

Botafogo Statistical Analysis

Goals and Attacks:

• Botafogo’s strength lies in their attacks. Jefferson Savarino leads the scorers’ list with 4 goals, while other players like Junior Santos and Tiquinho Soares also contribute to the attacks. The team has scored 28 goals so far this season, averaging 1.65 goals per match.
• Their xG (expected goals) metric is 19.5, indicating the team efficiently uses their opportunities.

Defense:

• The defense’s solidity is highlighted by the fact that they have conceded only 14 goals so far, averaging 0.82 goals per match. Goalkeeper John has also performed excellently with an 84.6% save rate.

Passing and Ball Possession:

• They are strong in passing, with an overall pass accuracy of 81.1%, ensuring stable ball possession. The team possesses the ball 62.1% of the time on average, suggesting dominant play.

Outstanding Players:

• Jefferson Savarino is the engine of the attacks, with an SCA90 (shot-creating actions per 90 minutes) metric of 5.08.
• Bastos excels in defense with 18 successful tackles and 77 clearances.

Internacional Statistical Analysis

Goals and Attacks:

• Internacional’s attacking game shows mixed results. Wesley is their top scorer with 4 goals and 1 assist, but the team has only scored 11 goals so far, averaging 0.85 goals per match.
• Their xG metric is 15.5, indicating they score fewer goals than expected from their opportunities.

Defense:

• Defensively, Internacional performs better than in attack. They have conceded only 11 goals so far, averaging 0.85 goals per match.
• Injuries and absences could impact their performance, as several key players like Bruno Henrique and Gabriel Mercado have struggled with injuries.

Passing and Ball Possession:

• Their pass accuracy is 79.8%, allowing for reliable ball circulation, though not as dominant as Botafogo.
• Their ball possession rate is 50.3%, suggesting balanced play.

Outstanding Players:

• Wesley is the key player in attacks, with an xA (expected assists) metric of 3.4.
• Robert Renan is the pillar of the defense, with a non-penalty xG+xA metric of 0.8.

Expert Analyses and Observations

Experts highlight that both teams are motivated, with Botafogo aiming to stay at the top of the table, while Internacional is striving to climb from the mid-table. Internacional’s weak point is their attacking efficiency, while Botafogo’s defense is stable and well-organized.

Safe Betting Tips

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Botafogo win (Low risk 1.76x): Based on Botafogo’s current form and attacking efficiency, they are likely to win the match.
2. Under 3.5 goals (Low risk 1.17x), Under 2.5 goals (Medium risk 1.52x): Both teams have strong defenses, so few goals are expected in the match.

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Over 4 yellow cards (Medium risk): Statistics suggest both teams play aggressively, which could result in more yellow cards.
2. Botafogo first goal (Medium risk 1.65x): Botafogo’s attackers start quickly and often score the first goal in matches.

In summary, based on statistical data and expert analyses, Botafogo’s victory is more likely, and few goals are expected in the match. The aggressive play might also result in several yellow cards, which could be a safer betting option.