Botafogo – Cruzeiro

Brasileiro Match

Botafogo Statistical Analysis

Team Overall Performance:
Botafogo has had a strong season in Série A, with 12 wins, 4 draws, and only 3 losses in 19 matches. They have scored 31 goals and conceded 16, resulting in a +15 goal difference. Their xG (expected goals) is 21.8, and their xGA (expected goals against) is 20.2, indicating a close but positive balance.

Key Players and Statistics:

• Tiquinho Soares: 4 goals and 3 assists in 13 matches, with an xG of 3.4, showing good performance.
• Jefferson Savarino: 4 goals and 1 assist in 12 matches, with an xG of 1.6, also showing positive performance.
• John (goalkeeper): 84.7% save rate in 16 matches, with 12 goals conceded in 16 matches, indicating outstanding performance.

Cruzeiro Statistical Analysis

Team Overall Performance:
Cruzeiro has also been stable but less dominant than Botafogo, with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in 18 matches. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 19, resulting in a +2 goal difference. Their xG is 24.1, and their xGA is 20.6, indicating a close but positive balance.

Key Players and Statistics:

• Matheus Pereira: 6 goals and 2 assists in 17 matches, with an xG of 3.2, making him the most dangerous attacker.
• Gabriel Veron: 4 goals and 1 assist in 16 matches, with an xG of 2.6, also a key player.
• Anderson (goalkeeper): 70.6% save rate in 15 matches, with 19 goals conceded in 15 matches, indicating acceptable performance.

Analysis and Forecast

Botafogo has a more stable defense and stronger attacking play, especially at home. The team has scored 31 goals in 19 matches, while Cruzeiro has only scored 21. Additionally, Botafogo has more home victories, increasing their chances of winning.

Key Factors:

• Defense: Botafogo has conceded fewer goals than Cruzeiro, and John has performed outstandingly as a goalkeeper.
• Attack: Botafogo has scored more goals and has a better xG, indicating they are more efficient at creating and capitalizing on opportunities.
• Player Form: Botafogo has more players in good form, such as Tiquinho Soares and Jefferson Savarino.

Betting Tips with Low and Medium Risk

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Botafogo win or draw (Low risk 1.19x), or Botafogo win (1X2 bet, Low but slightly higher risk 1.87x): The team is very strong at home and statistically in better form than Cruzeiro. (Low risk)
2. More than 1.5 goals in the match (Low risk 1.35x), More than 2.5 goals in the match (Medium risk 2.13x): Botafogo often scores goals, especially at home, and Cruzeiro is also capable of scoring. (Medium risk)

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Tiquinho Soares to score (2.23x): Currently in good form and especially effective at home. (Medium risk)
2. Both teams to score (BTTS – Both Teams To Score 1.96x): Both teams are capable of scoring, and based on xG, both have the potential to score. (Medium risk)

Interesting Facts and Insights

Human expert analyses highlight that Botafogo is highly motivated, aiming to maintain their top spot in the league. The team performs better at home, providing an additional advantage. Experts also emphasize the excellent form of Tiquinho Soares and goalkeeper John, further strengthening the team’s chances of winning.

Conclusion

Based on statistics and expert analyses, Botafogo is the favorite to win, especially at home. The low and medium-risk betting tips support this forecast, and the team’s stronger attacking and defensive play gives them a realistic chance of victory.