SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 5, September 13, 2024
Betis – Statistical Overview:
Offensive Efficiency: Real Betis’ offensive efficiency has not been at its best this season. In their last four matches, they only managed to score once, and their xG (expected goals) hasn’t exceeded 1.5. This suggests that while they create chances, their execution is lacking. The return of Nabil Fekir may positively impact their creative play, as he holds the highest xA (expected assists) and assist statistics in the team.
Defense: Betis’ defense has been inconsistent, conceding 3 goals in 3 matches. However, goalkeeper Rui Silva has stood out with an 80% save rate. If their defense improves, the number of goals conceded could drop significantly. Defenders Sabaly and Llorente have shown solid defensive stats, especially with tackles in the middle and defensive thirds.
Key Players: Fekir and Marc Bartra are crucial both in attack and defense. Bartra not only scored but also proved reliable defensively, especially in aerial duels.
Leganés – Statistical Overview:
Offense: Leganés’ offensive metrics are moderate. Juan Cruz’s two goals are a positive sign, but their xG (expected goals) is low; they’ve only scored 3 goals in their first four matches. This indicates that their attacks are not highly efficient. Diego and Juan Cruz have led some promising attacks, but their finishing leaves much to be desired.
Defense: Leganés’ defense can be considered relatively stable. Goalkeeper Juan Soriano boasts an 81% save rate and has faced teams with stronger offensive potential (e.g., against Mallorca). Their xGA (expected goals against) is moderate, suggesting that they effectively shut down opposing attacks.
Key Players: Juan Cruz and Soriano stand out. Cruz’s presence and attacking play are vital for improving their weak offense, while Soriano’s consistent goalkeeping is crucial for the team’s defense.
Low-Risk Bet Suggestion:
- Betis win or draw (1X) + Under 3.5 goals
- Betis is likely to dominate at home, but Leganés’ strong defense may prevent a high-scoring victory.
Odds: 1.44 – Safe Kelly: 6%