Brasileiro, July 28, 2024
Analysis
Atlético Mineiro Statistics
Atlético Mineiro’s current form is fluctuating, as reflected in their recent results: two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 25 goals, indicating a balance, but their attacking play seems more efficient compared to their opponents.
Key Players
- Paulinho: 6 goals and 1 assist in 16 matches. His xG (expected goals) is 4.0, showing he effectively utilizes his opportunities.
- Hulk: 5 goals and 3 assists in 13 matches. He is one of the most dangerous players on the team, with an xG of 4.6, a high value.
- Gustavo Scarpa: 3 goals and 4 assists in 16 matches, indicating he is also a significant attacking force.
Corinthians Statistics
Corinthians’ current form is also mixed, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. They have scored 22 goals and conceded 20 goals in 19 matches, indicating a more defensive playstyle.
Key Players
- Rodrigo Garro: 3 goals and 2 assists in 17 matches. His xG is 1.6, indicating he is one of the most dangerous attackers.
- Yuri Alberto: 3 goals and 2 assists in 16 matches, also representing an important attacking force.
- Cacá: 3 goals in 16 matches, with an xG of 3.2, showing good efficiency.
Injuries and Expected Lineups
For Atlético Mineiro, Paulinho, Hulk, and Gustavo Scarpa are expected to start. For Corinthians, Rodrigo Garro and Yuri Alberto are also likely to start.
Team Motivation
Atlético Mineiro needs a win to stabilize their mid-table position, while Corinthians also needs three points to improve their standing.
Expert Opinions
Analysts predict a close match, but Atlético Mineiro may be stronger at home. Additionally, Corinthians’ defense tends to make mistakes, which Atlético Mineiro’s attackers could exploit.
Betting Tips
Low Risk
- Total Goals – Over 1.5 goals (Low risk 1.31x), Over 2.5 goals (2.00x Medium risk): Both Atlético Mineiro and Corinthians tend to score, and both teams’ attackers are in form. (Low risk)
- Atlético Mineiro – 1X (home win or draw 1.13x): Atlético Mineiro is stronger at home and is likely to secure at least one point. (Low risk)
Medium Risk
- Paulinho to score (1.98x): Paulinho is in good form and likely to score in the match. (Medium risk)
- Hulk to score (2.45x): Hulk is also a dangerous attacker and expected to capitalize on his chances. (Medium risk)
- Both teams to score (1.98x): Both teams’ attackers are in form, making it likely that both sides will score. (Medium risk)
Summary
The match between Atlético Mineiro and Corinthians promises to be balanced, but Atlético Mineiro may have an edge at home. The safest bets are on goals and the home team’s win or draw. Based on individual player performances, betting on Paulinho and Hulk to score also seems promising.