Spain: LALIGA – Round 3 – August 28, 2024
Analysis
Considering the current statistics and expert analysis, Atletico Madrid’s dominance is clear. Atletico has scored 5 goals in two matches while conceding only 2, and their expected goals (xG) stats reflect their attacking efficiency well. Griezmann, Llorente, and Koke have delivered outstanding performances, both in goals and assists.
On the other hand, Espanyol has suffered two losses, both by 1-0, and their xG is lower than their opponents’. Espanyol has struggled to create scoring opportunities, indicating weak attacking efficiency. Additionally, their defense is not strong, as they have conceded in both matches, and goalkeeper Joan García’s performance has been below average (save% 50%).
Atletico Madrid’s current form, attacking efficiency, and Espanyol’s weak defense give Atletico a clear advantage in the match.
Tips and Risk Analysis
Low-Risk Tip:
- Atletico Madrid -1.0 Asian Handicap (If Atletico wins by 1 goal, the stake is refunded)
Probability: 65%
Odds: 1.46 – Kelly: 4%- Given Atletico Madrid’s dominance and Espanyol’s poor form, it’s likely that Atletico will win by at least two goals. The Asian Handicap is a safer choice, as the stake is refunded if Atletico wins by only 1 goal.
- Atletico Madrid to score over 1.5 goals (Probability: 65%)
Odds: 1.45 – Kelly: 2%- Atletico’s attack has been impressive in the matches so far. Both Griezmann and Llorente are goal threats, while Espanyol’s defense has made many mistakes, giving Atletico the opportunity to score multiple goals.