Spain: LALIGA – Round 3 – August 28, 2024
Analysis Based on Statistics and Expert Opinions
After examining the statistics and expert analysis of the match between Athletic Club and Valencia, the following conclusions can be drawn:
- Players and Performances:
Among the Athletic Club players, Oihan Sancet stands out with impressive attacking statistics, while Diego López has been Valencia’s most effective player so far this season. However, Valencia’s weak defense, which has conceded five goals in just two matches, is a concern, especially considering that Athletic has a stronger attacking lineup. - Expected Goals (xG) and Defensive Performances:
According to the statistical data, Athletic Club’s defense is more stable, allowing only 1.3 xG to their opponents, compared to Valencia’s 4.5 xG, which is a significant difference. This suggests that Athletic will likely be able to keep Valencia’s attacks under control. - Motivation and Team Form:
Athletic is highly motivated, playing at home and having mixed results so far. In contrast, Valencia has started the season with two losses, putting them under pressure. A victory is crucial for Athletic to strengthen their position in the standings.
Medium-Risk Bet Builder:
- Total Goals Under 3.5 + Total Yellow Cards Over 3.5Odds: 1.85 – Kelly: 2%
- Valencia has scored only 2 goals in their two matches so far, with an xG (expected goals) of just 1.9. Athletic Club’s defense, although having conceded 3 goals, did so against stronger opponents (Barcelona).
- Both Athletic Club and Valencia players are prone to committing fouls, with several players, such as Yeray Álvarez and Hugo Duro, already receiving yellow cards this season. In their matches so far, both teams have accumulated a total of 14 yellow cards. The match could be tense, which may increase the number of cards.