Argentinos Jrs – Cen. Córdoba

12/06/2024, Argentine Primera Division

Detailed analysis and proposals

Analysis

Argentinos Juniors

The Argentinos Juniors team had a mixed performance this year. In their four matches so far, they have recorded two wins and two defeats. The main statistics of the team:

• Goals and Goal Scoring (xG): The team has scored 4 goals in 4 games, and based on the statistical indicators (xG) they were expected to score 4 goals (3.5). This indicates that their attacking play is performing roughly as expected.
• Defence (xGA): 6 goals were scored, which is more than the expected number of goals (xGA 3.3), suggesting a weak defence.
• Players’ performance: Alan Lescano was at his best, scoring 2 goals and 1 assist, while Luciano Gondou scored 1 goal.
• Team composition and injuries: some key players are missing due to injury, which could affect both the defence and the attack.

Central Cordoba

Central Córdoba’s current season has been particularly poor, as they have failed to win any of their four matches so far and have conceded a total of 13 goals, which shows that their defence is extremely weak.

• Goals and Goal Situations (xG): 5 goals scored, but the number of goals conceded (13) is far above the expected number of goals conceded (xGA 9.6). This shows that their defence is particularly weak.
• Players’ performances: Tomás Molina was the most outstanding player, scoring 3 goals and 1 assist, while Mateo Sanabria scored 1 goal.
• Team composition and injuries: there are serious problems in defence, which could be exacerbated by injuries.

Suggestions for recipients

Low risk proposals

1. Argentinos Juniors win – Low risk

• Argentinos Juniors have been more stable throughout the season, especially at home. Central Córdoba’s defence is extremely weak and they have not been able to put in a convincing performance so far.

1. More than 2.5 goals per match – Low risk

• Both teams are vulnerable defensively, especially Central Córdoba, who have conceded a lot of goals in their games so far. Based on this, it is likely that more goals will be scored in this match.

Detailed justification

1. Argentinos Juniors win:

• Argentinos Juniors are in better form and playing at home gives them an added advantage. Central Córdoba’s defence is weak and they have conceded more goals than any other team in the league. The motivation of the team and the support of the home crowd will help them to get the win.

1. More than 2.5 goals in the match:

• Statistics show that both teams tend to score and score a lot of goals. The average number of goals scored in Argentinos Juniors matches is 2, while the average number of goals scored in Central Córdoba matches is 4. Based on these numbers, it is likely that there will be more than 2.5 goals scored in a match.

Concluding thoughts

Argentinos Juniors will probably be the stronger team in this match, especially at home. Given Central Córdoba’s weak defence and poor start to the season, a win for Argentinos Juniors and a 2.5+ goal margin seems like a realistic and low-risk betting option. Tomás Molina scoring a goal is a medium-risk bet, but considering his recent form, it could be worth considering.