Gimnasia – San Lorenzo

Argentinian Primera División

Introduction

A detailed analysis of the statistics and expert analyses for the Gimnasia and San Lorenzo match clearly shows that both teams have their strengths and weaknesses. Below, we will examine the data and expert comments in detail, looking for correlations and trends to make informed suggestions regarding the outcome of the match.

Gimnasia Statistical Analysis

1. Scoring Ability

Rodrigo Castillo and Matías Abaldo stand out in the Gimnasia team for their scoring statistics. Castillo has scored 3 goals in 6 matches, with 18 shots and a 38.9% shooting accuracy. Abaldo also scored 3 goals, with 12 shots and a 58.3% accuracy. These data indicate that both players are reliable scorers, especially Abaldo, who is exceptionally efficient.

2. Passing and Attacking Play

Gimnasia’s team is strong in passing, with 1810 successful passes out of 2499 attempts, resulting in a 72.4% accuracy rate. Juan Pintado and Pablo de Blasis excel in progressive passes and attacking passes, which create opportunities for setting up and finishing attacks.

3. Defense

In defense, Yonathan Cabral and Juan Pintado play key roles. Cabral has succeeded in 8 out of 9 tackle attempts, while Pintado has 12 successful tackles out of 17 attempts. The number of defensive actions and the success rate of tackles indicate that Gimnasia can effectively thwart the opponent’s attacks.

San Lorenzo Statistical Analysis

1. Scoring Ability

San Lorenzo’s team is less remarkable in terms of scoring, with only 3 goals scored this season. Gastón Campi and Alexis Cuello each scored 1 goal, but the overall shooting statistics (only 19 shots, 5 of which were on target) suggest that the attacking play is not very effective.

2. Passing and Attacking Play

San Lorenzo’s passing accuracy is 55.2%, significantly lower than Gimnasia’s. The number of progressive passes and key passes is also lower, indicating that they find it harder to organize attacks and break through the opponent’s defense.

3. Defense

San Lorenzo is relatively strong in defense, with 30 successful tackles out of 43 attempts. Goalkeeper Facundo Altamirano has a save percentage of 68.4%, which is not outstanding but provides acceptable support for the defense.

Expert Comments

Experts highlight that Gimnasia’s team has strong motivation, as they are playing at home and are in good form. In contrast, San Lorenzo has played several draws recently, indicating weak attacking play and defense.

Low and Medium Risk Betting Suggestions

Low-Risk Tips

  1. Number of goals – under 2.5 (1.45x)
    • Risk: Low
    • Both teams have strong defenses and their attacking play is not outstanding, so fewer goals are likely to be scored in the match.
  2. Gimnasia wins or draws (Low risk 1.40x), Gimnasia wins (Medium risk 2.70x)
    • Risk: Medium
    • Gimnasia is playing at home, is in strong form, and the statistics favor them.

Medium-Risk Tips

  1. Number of yellow cards – over 5.5
    • Risk: Medium
    • Both teams play aggressively, and statistics suggest many fouls can be expected.

Summary

Based on a thorough analysis of the match, Gimnasia has a better chance of winning due to their better attacking play and more effective defense. Betting on the number of yellow cards and goals is also advisable, considering the teams’ aggressive playing style and strong defense. The suggested tips are low and medium risk, offering safe choices for bettors.

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