EUROPE: Europa League – Group Stage – Matchday 1 – September 26, 2024
Match Preview and Team Forms:
Ludogorets Razgrad:
- Currently, they are in great form, having won three and drawn one of their last four matches. This has solidified their place among the top teams in the Bulgarian league, and they have also progressed to the Europa League.
- Ludogorets’ attacking lineup is particularly strong, scoring 12 goals in their last 8 matches, with Rwan and Spas Delev standing out. Their defense is also solid, conceding only 1 goal in the last 8 games.
Slavia Prague:
- The Czech team is also in great form, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches and only suffering a loss against French side Lille. In their last matches, they scored a total of 16 goals while conceding just 1, showcasing a very strong defensive performance.
- Among their attackers, El Hadji Diouf and Tomáš Chorý are particularly dangerous, having contributed to several goals this season.
Expert Analysis and Observations:
- Motivation and Form: Both teams come into the match highly motivated, as both Ludogorets and Slavia are fighting for crucial European points. Ludogorets are always strong at home, but Slavia has shown stable performances even when playing away.
- Key Players Missing: On Ludogorets’ side, Spas Delev is doubtful, which could weaken their attack, while Slavia might face issues with the absence of Ivan Schranz.
Statistical Analysis:
Goals:
- Ludogorets have scored a total of 12 goals in their last 8 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- Slavia Prague has also shown an impressive attacking front recently, scoring 16 goals in 8 matches, an average of 2 goals per game.
- Based on the statistics, both teams have strong offensive lines, and it is expected that both sides will score during the match.
Defensive Statistics:
- Ludogorets’ defense has been stable, conceding just 1 goal in their last 8 matches.
- Slavia’s defense is also strong, having conceded only 1 goal in their last 8 matches.
- Despite the solid defenses, the statistics suggest that both teams are likely to score due to their strong attacking power.
Yellow Cards and Fouls:
- Ludogorets have received a total of 6 yellow cards this season, which is not high, but Slavia, with 14 yellow cards, is considered a more foul-prone team.
- It is expected that Slavia will pick up more yellow cards in this match.
Low-Risk Betting Tip:
- Over 1.5 goals in the match + Over 3.5 yellow cards:
- Based on the stats, Ludogorets average 1.5 goals, while Slavia averages 2 goals per game, so more than 1.5 goals are expected.
- According to Slavia’s statistics, they are more prone to fouls, having received 14 yellow cards so far, so more yellow cards are expected from them.
Odds: 1.75 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- Both teams to score (BTTS):
- Both teams have strong attacking lines, and it is expected that both sides will score. Slavia has scored in 7 of their last 8 matches, while Ludogorets is always dangerous at home.
- Probability: 57.4%
Odds: 1.90 – Safe Kelly: 1%
In summary: The encounter between Ludogorets and Slavia Prague promises to be an exciting and tight match, where both teams are likely to score, but the winner may remain uncertain.