EUROPE: Europa League – Group Stage – Round 1 – 25 September 2024
Statistical Analysis:
Form and Results:
Dinamo Kyiv has recently recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss across all competitions and remains unbeaten in their domestic league. Additionally, they have scored 11 goals in their recent matches. Lazio, on the other hand, has shown fluctuating form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches, scoring 9 goals. The Italian team’s away form has been mixed, adding to the uncertainty in predicting the outcome of this match.
Defense and Attack:
Dinamo Kyiv’s defense has been solid, particularly at home, as evidenced by their 0-0 draw against Rukh Lviv. Lazio’s attack, however, is consistently productive, as they have scored in 13 consecutive matches. Nevertheless, the potential absence of key players Castellanos and Boulaye Dia due to injuries could weaken their attacking strength. Dinamo Kyiv, on the other hand, can rely on Yarmolenko’s experience and Vanat’s youth in the attack.
Tactical Formations and Key Players:
Based on expected lineups, Dinamo Kyiv will likely set up in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, while Lazio is expected to mirror this with a 4-2-3-1 as well, featuring Pedro and Zaccagni in the attacking trio. Kyiv boasts a stable midfield led by Brazhko, Shaparenko, and Pikhalyonok. Lazio’s midfield creativity comes from Guendouzi and Rovella, while Isaksen’s speed and technique on the wings could pose a threat.
Low-Risk Betting Tip:
- Under 3.5 Goals + Over 3.5 Yellow Cards:
Given both teams’ physical playing styles and the importance of the match, at least 4 yellow cards are likely to be handed out. Dinamo Kyiv players have regularly received cards in previous matches, and Lazio, known for their tough style in Serie A, is no stranger to cards either. Statistically, fewer than 3.5 goals are expected in the match, as both teams have solid defenses. Experts also predict a tight contest with few goals.
Odds: 1.83 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Betting Tips:
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS):
Dinamo Kyiv’s defense is strong at home, but Lazio’s attacking potential, even with injuries, can still find the back of the net. Lazio has scored in 13 consecutive matches, and Dinamo Kyiv has also found the net in European home matches. The BTTS probability is 53.11%, making this a medium-risk bet. (Risk: medium)
Odds: 1.71 – Safe Kelly: 1%
- Over 8.5 Corners:
Both teams tend to attack from the wings, and with Lazio utilizing Isaksen’s crosses and Kyiv relying on Yarmolenko, there could be several corner opportunities. This appears to be a low-risk bet, supported by statistical trends. (Risk: low)