SOUTH AMERICA: World Cup Qualifier – Round 7, September 7, 2024
Uruguay’s Strengths:
Uruguay has shown outstanding form, winning 4 out of 6 matches in the World Cup qualifiers, with only 1 loss. With 13 points, they sit in second place, and the match against Paraguay is crucial for them.
In Uruguay’s attacking line, Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde are key players, while the absence of Ronald Araújo and José María Giménez in defense may be a disadvantage.
According to the statistics, Uruguay has a 60.59% chance of winning, and the most likely result is a 1-0 victory for Uruguay (15.85%).
Paraguay’s Weaknesses:
Paraguay is in poor form, having won only one of their 6 matches and collected just 5 points. The arrival of the new coach, Gustavo Alfaro, may bring some motivation, but Paraguay will face a tough challenge against Uruguay.
Paraguay has shown weak attacking play, scoring only one goal so far in the qualifiers and displaying little creativity in attack. Antonio Sanabria is their only goalscorer, and he is expected to pose the greatest threat.
Motivation and Key Factors:
Uruguay’s motivation is strong as this will be Luis Suárez’s last match with the national team. This emotional factor may inspire the Uruguayan team to deliver a dominant performance in bidding farewell to their legendary player.
For Paraguay, the momentum provided by the new coach could be a chance, but their weak attacking game and Uruguay’s home dominance make it unlikely to be enough.
Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips:
Low-Risk Tips:
- Uruguay win – With a 60.59% probability, Uruguay is likely to win, and given Paraguay’s poor form, this is one of the safest betting options.
Odds: 1.6 – Safe Kelly: 5% - Over 4.5 yellow cards (probability: 70%) – Based on the statistics, both teams are prone to fouls, and the match could be tense due to the stakes and Suárez’s farewell game.
Odds: 1.67 – Safe Kelly: 5%