ENGLAND: Premier League – Matchday 4, September 15, 2024
Tottenham has played three matches this season, recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In attack, Son Heung-min (3 matches, 2 goals) and James Maddison (2 assists) are key players, both in outstanding form. The team’s defense has shown mixed results: while Cristian Romero has been a stable point in the defense, and the defensive stats (e.g., Romero’s 9 tackles) don’t show exceptionally poor results, the loss to Newcastle highlighted some defensive weaknesses. Tottenham’s midfield pressure has also been inconsistent, but the solid performances of Yves Bissouma and Pedro Porro could prove helpful.
Arsenal has shown a much more balanced performance at the start of the season. Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, and Leandro Trossard are dominating in attack, all of them in goalscoring form. The team’s defense is also stable: William Saliba and Gabriel Magalhães lead the backline, and goalkeeper David Raya boasts a 90% save success rate. Statistically, Arsenal concedes fewer goals than Tottenham, suggesting a stronger defense.
Low-risk tips:
- Both teams to score (probability: 65%)
- Both teams have strong attacking power, and both Tottenham and Arsenal are capable of scoring multiple goals. Both teams have scored in almost all their matches so far this season.
- Odds: 1.5 – Safe Kelly: 4%
Medium-risk Bet Builder tip: 2. Total goals under 3.5 + yellow cards over 3.5
- Arsenal has conceded few goals so far, while Tottenham hasn’t shown overly prolific attacking play. It’s likely that we will see a tight match.
- The London derby usually results in tense matches, with many fouls. Statistically, both teams have committed several fouls in previous matches, so a high number of yellow cards is expected.
- Odds: 2.00 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-risk tip: 3. Cristian Romero to receive a booking – Probability: 60%
- Based on Romero’s aggressive playing style and the fouls he’s committed in previous matches, there is a good chance he will receive a yellow card in this game.
- Odds: 2.33 – Safe Kelly: 0.5%