EUROPE: UEFA Nations League – A-League – 4th Round
Based on the detailed analysis of the Nations League match between Switzerland and Denmark, several important factors should be noted from the statistical data and expert analysis. Both teams are in a tense situation, making the outcome of the match unpredictable. However, I can recommend a few low to medium-risk betting tips, especially concerning yellow cards and corners.
Form of Teams and Players:
- Switzerland’s Form: They have lost all of their last three matches, conceding 8 goals. The recent 2-0 defeat against Serbia is particularly concerning, as the Swiss struggled in both defense and attack. Statistically, Switzerland scores an average of 0.33 goals per match in the Nations League, which is a low performance.
- Denmark’s Form: Although Denmark lost their last match against Spain, they previously secured two convincing 2-0 victories over Switzerland and Serbia. Denmark has a strong defense, with goalkeeper Kasper Schmeichel boasting an 88.9% save rate, which is impressive.
- Player Performance: For Switzerland, Breel Embolo’s attacking play is notable, though he has only managed one assist so far, he remains the team’s most dangerous player. On Denmark’s side, Yussuf Poulsen and Rasmus Højlund lead the attacks, both being key figures in Denmark’s offensive play. Højlund is still not fully fit but is expected to start, improving Denmark’s chances.
Tactical Analysis:
- Switzerland’s Defensive Issues: Statistically, Switzerland’s defense is weak. They have conceded 8 goals in their three Nations League matches and have made few tackles or defensive actions. Manuel Akanji leads the defense, but with Xhaka and Freuler underperforming in midfield, the defense collapses.
- Denmark’s Stability: Denmark has a well-organized defense, supported by the performances of Jannik Vestergaard and Kasper Schmeichel. Statistically, Denmark’s defense has conceded just 1 goal in 3 matches, making them tough to break down. In midfield, Højbjerg and Eriksen are key to ball possession and building attacks.
Low and Medium-Risk Betting Tips:
Low-Risk Tip:
- More than 8.5 corners: Both teams have the ability to attack from the flanks, and as Switzerland needs to win, they are likely to push for many corners.
Odds: 1.47 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tips:
- Denmark win or draw (Probability: Denmark 35.02%, draw 25.3%): Based on Denmark’s form and solid defense, it’s likely they won’t lose. The most likely outcome is a draw, but a Denmark win is also possible.
Odds: 1.62 – Safe Kelly: 1%
- Both teams to score (Probability: 56.5%): Despite Denmark’s strong defense, Switzerland will do everything they can on home turf to score at least one goal, especially through Embolo. Switzerland needs points, so they are expected to put pressure on Denmark’s defense.
Odds: 2.07 – Safe Kelly: 1%
Final Note:
The Switzerland-Denmark match will be highly competitive, but based on the statistical data and expert analysis, the safest bets are on the number of corners, total goals, and the match outcome.