Sporting Lisbon – FC Porto

Portuguese Super Cup Final

To formulate low and medium-risk tips for the outcome of the Portuguese Super Cup final, the following detailed statistical and expert analysis points are considered.

Sporting CP Statistical Analysis

Attack:

• Viktor Gyökeres has delivered an outstanding performance, scoring 29 goals and providing 10 assists in 33 matches. His presence significantly enhances Sporting’s attacking play.
• Pedro Gonçalves also played an important role, scoring 11 goals and providing 12 assists. Therefore, the attacking line is quite strong.

Defense:

• Sebastián Coates and Ousmane Diomande have been solid as central defenders. Coates scored 4 goals in 25.3 matches and received 1 red card, indicating the defense’s solidity.

Passing and Ball Possession:

• Gonçalo Inácio and Ousmane Diomande have excellent passing accuracy, with 89.1% and 91.6%, respectively. This shows that Sporting retains the ball well and controls the game.

Defensive Statistics:

• Morten Hjulmand and Pedro Gonçalves have made a significant number of tackles and interceptions, enhancing the midfield’s defensive stability.

FC Porto Statistical Analysis

Attack:

• Evanilson was Porto’s top scorer, with 13 goals in 27 matches. His presence is crucial for Porto’s attack.
• Galeno recorded 9 goals and 7 assists, making him another key player in the attacking line.

Defense:

• Pepe and Wendell have played significant roles in defense, each with over 25 matches and strong defensive statistics.

Goalkeeper:

• Diogo Costa has been reliable with a save percentage of 67.3%, providing solid support for the team.

Passing and Ball Possession:

• Pepê and João Mário Lopes have excellent passing accuracy, at 89.1% and 91.6%, respectively. This indicates that Porto is also strong in ball retention and building attacks.

Player Form and Possible Line-ups

• Key players for Sporting, like Gyökeres and Gonçalves, are likely to start, while Porto’s attacking players, like Evanilson and Galeno, will also be on the field.
• No injuries have been reported among the key players, so both teams are expected to be at full strength.

Tip Analysis and Recommendations

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Total Goals Over 2.5:
   • Both teams have strong attacking lines, and historical statistics indicate frequent high-scoring victories. This tip is considered low-risk as the match is likely to be rich in goals.
   • Risk: Low
2. Both Teams to Score:
   • Given the outstanding form of the attacking players on both teams, it is likely that both sides will score.
   • Risk: Low

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Viktor Gyökeres to Score: The top scorer of the season is likely to find the net. (Medium risk)
2. Over 5.5 Yellow Cards in the Match:
   • Statistics show that both teams commit quite a few fouls and receive several yellow cards in matches.
   • Risk: Medium
3. Over 9 Corners in the Match:
   • Both Sporting and Porto lead numerous attacks, often resulting in corners.
   • Risk: Medium

EXTRA TIP (Higher Risk):

1. Winning Goal After 75th Minute:
   • The statistics of the matches and the teams’ tendency to score late goals, especially in close matches, support this tip.

Summary

The match outcome is difficult to predict with certainty, but based on the analysis, it is clear that many goals, yellow cards, and corners are to be expected. The tips mentioned above are well-founded on statistical data and expert opinions, making them low and medium-risk betting options for the match.