Sporting CP – Porto

PORTUGAL: League Cup – Semifinal

Analysis

Team Statistics

Sporting CP

• Win Rate: Sporting CP is in excellent form, with 13 wins out of 17 matches.
• Attacking Efficiency: Viktor Gyökeres, the team’s main goal scorer, has netted 21 goals in 17 matches, which could play a key role in the match.
• Defensive Stability: The average number of goals conceded is 0.6 per match, indicating strong defensive effectiveness.
• Key Player Absences: Injuries to Pedro Goncalves and Gonçalo Inácio are a significant blow to the team.

Porto

• Form: Porto is also on a good run, with 5 wins and 2 draws in their last 7 matches.
• Attacking Efficiency: Galeno (8 goals) and Nicolás González (5 goals) are key offensive players. According to xG stats, their attack is effective.
• Defense: The average goals conceded is 0.5 per match, reflecting a tight defensive strategy.
• Player Absences: Injuries to Wendell and Marko Grujić reduce depth in defense and midfield.

Player Trends

• Sporting CP: Gyökeres is the driving force of the team, with an average of 1.64 xG per match.
• Porto: Galeno offers strong attacking potential, while goalkeeper Diogo Costa provides solid defensive support.

Recommendations

Low-Risk Tip

1. Over 2 Goals (Asian Goal Count): Probability: 57.96%.
   • Explanation: Based on previous matches and current form, a high-scoring match is likely.

Odds: 1.38 – Kelly: 2%

Medium-Risk Tip

2. Both Teams to Score: Probability: 59.29%. Both teams have strong attacking potential.
   • Explanation: Both teams have high attacking efficiency and are prone to exchanging goals.

Odds: 1.62 – Kelly: 1%

Interesting Facts

1. Sporting CP’s Dominant Attack: Gyökeres and Trincao have contributed to 27 goals together.
2. Porto’s Defensive Stability: Diogo Costa is the player with the most saves in the league.
3. Sporting’s Home Advantage: At the Estádio José Alvalade, Sporting has won 4 out of their last 5 matches.

Based on the analysis, Sporting CP is slightly favored, but Porto’s strong form can level the odds. For betting, it’s advisable to focus on goals and player performances.