European Championship Quarter-Final, July 5, 2024
Detailed Analysis of the Spain vs Germany Euro Quarter-Final Match
Spain’s Statistics
Spain’s performance in the European Championship has been impressive so far. Based on their victories in the group stage and the round of 16, it is clear that they dominate the game. The team has scored 17 goals, averaging 4.25 goals per match, while conceding only one goal. This excellent defensive performance is also evident from the goalkeepers’ statistics: Unai Simón has a 90% save efficiency, contributing to three clean sheets.
In the attacking section, Fabián Ruiz and Lamine Yamal are the key players. Fabián Ruiz has participated in four goals and four assists, while Lamine Yamal has two assists and an xG+xA of 3.1. In midfield, Pedri and Rodri also deliver strong performances, with the former having an xG+xA of 0.93 and the latter scoring 0.34 goals per match.
The Spanish defense is stable, especially the full-backs Dani Carvajal and Marc Cucurella. Both have strong defensive statistics and provide progressive passes, aiding in building attacks.
Germany’s Statistics
Germany has also shown strong performance in their matches so far. In their first three games, they scored 10 goals and conceded only one. Manuel Neuer has a 75% save efficiency and kept two clean sheets.
In the attacking lineup, Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz are the most dangerous players. Musiala has scored three goals and has an xG+xA of 1.1, while Havertz has two goals and one assist, with an xG+xA of 1.16. In midfield, İlkay Gündoğan and Toni Kroos perform strongly, with the former participating in two goals and having an xG+xA of 1.0.
The German defense, led by Antonio Rüdiger, is stable. Rüdiger has received four yellow cards in four matches but defends well and has a strong passing accuracy of 91.2%.
Connections and Trends
Both teams are in excellent form and have shown strong attacking and defensive play throughout the tournament. Spain has scored slightly more goals, but their defense and goalkeeper performance are similarly strong to Germany’s.
Their attacking play also has similarities: both teams’ midfields and wingers actively participate in building attacks and provide many progressive passes. Defensively, both teams are stable and have conceded few goals so far.
Betting Tips
- Total Goals Over 1.5 (Low Risk), Over 2.5 (Medium Risk): Based on previous matches, both teams tend to score more goals. Spain scored 5 goals in the group stage, while Germany scored 10. The attacking statistics also support this tip: Spain’s xG is 5.5, while Germany’s is 7.6.
- Both Teams to Score (Medium Risk): Given both teams’ attacking power, it is likely that both sides will find the net.
- More than 2.5 Yellow Cards in the Match (Low Risk), More than 3.5 (Medium Risk): Based on Germany’s playing style and Rüdiger’s previous yellow cards, it is likely that they will receive several yellow cards.
- Corners Over 7.5 (Low Risk), Over 8.5 (Medium Risk): Given the attacking play and many shots on goal, many corners are expected in the match.
Summary
The match between Spain and Germany promises to be a close and hard-fought battle. Both teams have strong attacking and defensive metrics, making it difficult to predict the exact result. However, based on Spain’s higher-scoring matches so far and Germany’s aggressive play, it is worth paying attention to bets on goals, corners, and yellow cards.