09/06/2024, friendly match
Analysis and Forecasting
Detailed analysis of the friendly match between Slovakia and Wales based on data and articles written by human experts. Weighing the statistical data more heavily, but also taking into account the expert analysis, the following conclusions were reached.
Form and motivation of teams
Slovakia:
- Slovakia did well in the European Championship qualifiers, finishing second in their group and qualifying for the tournament.
- In their last friendly match they beat San Marino 4-0, which should be a confidence booster for them.
- The team’s aim is to get a positive result against Wales and arrive in good shape for next year’s European Championship.
Wales:
- Wales failed to qualify for the European Championship and played out a disappointing 0-0 draw with Gibraltar in their last friendly.
- Wales are missing several key players such as Connor Roberts, Joe Rodon, Wayne Hennessey, Ben Davies, Aaron Ramsey and Harry Wilson.
- Although the team’s motivation is not as high as Slovakia’s, they are keen to maintain their nine-match unbeaten streak.
Players and key statistics
Slovakia:
- Stanislav Lobotka and Juraj Kucka play an important role in midfield, facilitating both attack and defence.
- Goalkeeper Martin Dúbravka is in good form and could add stability to the defence.
- Lukáš Haraslín is one of the best strikers and scored against San Marino.
Wales:
- Goalkeeper Danny Ward has done well recently and could be a key part of the defence.
- Harry Wilson and Daniel James can be dangerous in attack, especially in quick counter-attacks.
- In midfield, Ethan Ampadu and Jordan James could be key to controlling the game and creating balance.
Risk assessment and betting tips
Low Risk Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Low risk
- Rationale: Both teams have players in their forward line who can score goals. Slovakia have scored several times in recent matches and Wales may be able to take advantage of any mistakes made by the Slovak defence.
- Double Chance: Slovakia win or draw – Low risk
- Rationale: Slovakia are playing at home and are in good form. The absence of Wales’ key players also increases Slovakia’s chances of at least a draw.
Medium Risk Tip
- Lukáš Haraslín scores – Medium risk
- Rationale: Haraslin is in good form and scored in his last match. Slovakia’s attacking play can build on him, so he is likely to score again.
Interesting Observations
- Slovakia relies heavily on its defence, in particular the experience of Milan Škriniar and Peter Pekarík. This should give the team stability, especially at home.
- For Wales, the performances of young players such as Brennan Johnson and Jordan James could be important as they look to prove themselves in place of key players who are missing.
Summary
Based on the data and expert opinion, Slovakia are slightly better favourites to win, but Wales will be fighting to maintain their unbeaten run. The motivations for the friendlies may differ, but the above picks are low to medium risk and take into account the current form of both teams and the expected starting eleven.