Slovakia – Romania

European Championship, June 26, 2024

Detailed Analysis: Slovakia vs Romania Match

Statistical Analysis

Slovakia Statistical Analysis

Slovakia has achieved mixed results in this year’s European Championship group matches. Their two matches so far have resulted in one win and one loss, with a goal difference of 2-2. Based on the statistical data:

  • Ivan Schranz is their most dangerous attacker, having scored two goals and averaging 1.09 goals per 90 minutes.
  • Martin Dúbravka the goalkeeper, has a save efficiency of 77.8%, which is relatively good.
  • The Slovakian team works with many passes, with a high pass accuracy (83%), but their long passes (around 50%) are less effective.
  • The team is strong in defense, but their attacking play is relatively mediocre, reflected by their low xG (expected goals) values (1.4 xG over two matches).

Romania Statistical Analysis

Romania is in a similar situation, with one win and one loss in the group, and a goal difference of 3-2. The team’s statistics are as follows:

  • Nicolae Stanciu and Denis Drăguș are the team’s best attackers, both having scored goals and playing significant roles in the attacks.
  • Florin Niță the goalkeeper, performed excellently with a save efficiency of 81.8% and a +1.4 PSxG (Prevented Goals Expected) value.
  • Among Romanian players, Dennis Man stands out, having contributed with two assists.
  • The team has a high xG (expected goals) value (2.0), indicating effective attacks, but their defense can be vulnerable (4.4 xGA).

Expert Analysis Summary

Experts believe both teams are motivated to win, as the match is crucial for advancing. Romania’s attack is stronger, while Slovakia has better defense. Experts highlight the role of key players like Schranz and Stanciu, who could be decisive in the match outcome.

Low and Medium Risk Tips

Low-Risk Tips:

  1. Under 3.5 goals in the match (Low risk), Under 2.5 goals in the match (Medium risk) – Due to Slovakia’s strong defense and Romania’s stable goalkeeping, few goals are likely.
  2. Slovakia scores less than 1.5 goals – Slovakia’s attacking play is limited, as shown by their low xG value. (Low risk)

Medium-Risk Tips:

  1. More than 7.5 corners in the match – Both teams lead many attacks, which could result in a match rich in corners. (Medium risk)

Player and Potential Starting Lineups Analysis

Based on the analysis, key players are expected to start, such as Schranz for Slovakia and Stanciu for Romania. Both teams have absences, but these do not significantly affect their tactical setups.

Summary

The match is likely to have a low goal count, due to Slovakia’s strong defense and Romania’s good goalkeeping. Romania’s attacking potential suggests more corners and goals, but predicting the final winner is difficult as the strengths and weaknesses of both teams balance each other out.

Based on this, the safest bets are on the low number of goals and the number of corners, while predicting the winner would be more uncertain.

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