SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 5, September 14, 2024
Real Sociedad:
Real Sociedad’s attacking unit has been particularly active in the matches so far, but they haven’t been particularly effective in converting their chances. Their xG (expected goals) stands at 4.8, but they’ve only scored 3 goals, indicating that opponents’ defense and goalkeeping have impacted their finishing. However, it’s important to note that the team’s prgP (progressive passes) statistic is impressive, with 127 progressive passes showing their ability to build fast attacks, which could pose a threat to Real Madrid.
On the defensive side, Sociedad is stable, having conceded just 4 goals in 4 matches, with goalkeeper Remiro boasting a 76.9% save rate, which is considered solid.
Real Madrid:
Real Madrid has also shown strong performances this season, with an xG of 12.2, scoring 7 goals, meaning they too missed some opportunities. Kylian Mbappé and Vinicius Júnior have particularly stood out in attack. Mbappé has attempted 25 shots, 9 of which were on target, but has only scored 2 goals, indicating that if he finishes more efficiently, he could be a major threat to Sociedad’s defense.
In defense, Real Madrid has conceded only 2 goals, with Courtois achieving a 77.8% save rate, and the team maintaining a 50% clean sheet rate. Antonio Rüdiger and Éder Militão are reliable defenders, and with a combined 271 successful passes, they also play an important role in building attacks.
Low-risk tips:
- Real Madrid win (Probability: 65%)
- Based on the statistics, Real Madrid is in better form and has a stronger attacking force than Sociedad.
Odds: 1.73 – Safe Kelly: 6%
Low-risk bet builder tip:
- Real Madrid draw or win (X2) + Over 3.5 yellow cards
- In prestige clashes, tough battles often arise between the teams. Both teams have accumulated several yellow cards so far, indicating the likelihood of frequent fouls.
Odds: 1.65 – Safe Kelly: 2%