Real Sociedad – Osasuna

SPAIN: Copa del Rey – Quarterfinals

Team and Player Statistical Analysis

Real Sociedad

Team Level Data:

• Copa del Rey Form: 4 wins (Jove Espanol, Conquense, Ponferradina, Rayo Vallecano) leading up to the quarterfinals.
• Possession: An average of around 60% possession in the tournament so far, indicating an attacking style.
• Home Advantage: 7 wins in their last 9 home matches, showcasing strong home performance.

Player Level Data:

• Mikel Oyarzabal: 2 goals and 2 assists in 3 matches, a key player in their attacks.
• Sergio Gómez: 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 matches, outstanding performance in midfield.
• Orri Oskarsson: Scored 3 goals in the last two matches, indicating good form.

Osasuna

Team Level Data:

• Copa del Rey Form: 4 wins (Chiclana, Ceuta, Tenerife, Athletic Bilbao), demonstrating strong performance in the cup.
• Defense: Conceded 5 goals in 4 recent cup matches, indicating an average defensive performance.
• Away Success: Won their last two away matches at the Reale Arena, including a recent 2-0 victory.

Player Level Data:

• Ante Budimir: 15 goals in 25 matches, with 3 in the Copa del Rey, poses the main goal threat.
• Lucas Torro: Solid defensive midfield play, averaging 6 interceptions per match.

Expert Analysis

According to the analysis, Real Sociedad is experiencing fluctuating form despite the home advantage, while Osasuna has been more stable recently. Their latest encounter was won by Osasuna 2-1, which might give them momentum for the cup match. However, the home turf and cup performance back Real Sociedad.

Medium Risk Tips:

1. Real Sociedad Win

• Explanation: Despite recent form fluctuations, they are strong at home and motivated in the Copa del Rey.
• Probability: 57.13%.

Odds: 1.78 – Kelly: 1%

2. Under 2.5 Goals

• Explanation: Real Sociedad’s matches tend to conclude with fewer goals, particularly in cup games.
• Probability: 52.96%.

Odds: 1.60 – Kelly: 1%

Surprising Facts and Insights

• Orri Oskarsson’s Form: His three goals in the last two matches highlight him as a potential key player, despite playing a smaller role earlier in the season.
• Osasuna’s Cup Performance: Advancing by defeating Athletic Bilbao away provides a confidence boost heading into the quarterfinals.
• Real Sociedad’s Fluctuating Form: The team has performed better in European competitions than in La Liga, possibly indicating a better focus in cup competitions.