FRANCE: Ligue 1 – Round 21
1. Team Statistics Overview
Paris Saint-Germain (PSG):
- Form: PSG is unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season and is in a dominant position for the championship. They have won 12 out of their last 13 matches, scoring a total of 36 goals.
- Home Advantage: Under Luis Enrique’s leadership, PSG has scored in 38 of their last 40 home matches, highlighting their attacking effectiveness.
- Defense: Based on the xGA (expected goals against) metric, PSG demonstrates solid defense, allowing only 0.6 xGA against Montpellier, for example.
AS Monaco:
- Form: Monaco’s form is inconsistent. They haven’t won in their last four away matches, which could be a problem at Parc des Princes.
- Strengths and Weaknesses: Monaco tends to falter in maintaining the lead, as they’ve lost matches from winning positions against top 5 teams.
2. Player Statistics Overview
Outstanding PSG Players:
- Ousmane Dembélé: Scored 14 goals in the last eight matches, including two consecutive hat-tricks.
- Bradley Barcola: With 11 goals and 4 assists in 20 matches, he plays a crucial role in PSG’s attacks.
- Achraf Hakimi: Actively contributes to attacks from the defense with 5 assists.
Outstanding Monaco Players:
- Mika Biereth: Scored a hat-trick in the 4-2 victory against Auxerre, likely earning a starting position.
- Maghnes Akliouche and Lamine Camara: Both play crucial attacking roles with significant goal and assist contributions.
Low-Risk Tip
- Both teams to score (63.38% probability):
- Reason: Monaco has scored in 12 of their last 13 away matches against PSG. PSG’s attacking lineup nearly guarantees goals.
Odds: 1.45 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip
- PSG win + Both teams to score (combined bet):
- Reason: While PSG is the favorite, Monaco might manage to score, making this combined bet a good option.
Odds: 2.25 – Kelly: 1%
Surprising Facts
- Monaco is the only club to have beaten PSG more than 40 times (48 wins in total), indicating a historic rivalry.
- Ousmane Dembélé’s incredible form: Scoring 14 goals in his last eight matches showcases an unusual efficiency for a winger.
- Monaco’s worrying away form: Their current weak run away from home is something they haven’t experienced in five years.