EUROPE: UEFA Nations League – League A – Round 2, September 10, 2024
Netherlands Performance and Players:
The Netherlands’ strong attacking play was evident in their first Nations League match, where they beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 5-2. Cody Gakpo, Xavi Simons, and Joshua Zirkzee all performed well, with Zirkzee standing out, scoring a goal and providing an assist. It is important to note that Memphis Depay and Steven Bergwijn will be absent, making the roles of Zirkzee and Gakpo particularly significant.
Based on statistics, the Dutch team took many shots on goal (28 in the first match), nine of which were on target, indicating an effective attack, but their defense is vulnerable: they conceded two goals against a relatively weaker opponent.
Germany Performance and Players:
Germany was similarly successful in their first match, beating Hungary 5-0. Kai Havertz and Niclas Füllkrug played exceptionally well, and the German attack functioned efficiently. Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz’s creativity will be key, as both are excellent playmakers and provided assists. According to the statistics, Germany made 23 attempts on goal, with nine on target, showing a similar offensive power to the Dutch team.
Defensive Concerns:
Both teams have issues in defense. The Dutch defense, despite being led by Virgil van Dijk and Matthijs de Ligt, conceded two goals to Bosnia, showing that their defense is vulnerable. The same can be said for Germany, as they are missing experienced defenders like Antonio Rüdiger, and the defensive pairing of Nico Schlotterbeck and Jonathan Tah lacks perfect coordination.
Motivation and Tactical Factors:
Expert analysis shows that both teams aim to secure the top spot in the group, and based on their strong attacking form, both will be pushing for a win. However, due to defensive instability, both teams are expected to start cautiously but will likely switch to attacking play early on.
Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips:
Low-risk tips:
- Both teams to score (GG) – Low risk (probability: 56%) Both teams have strong offensive power, and based on statistics, both defenses are prone to conceding goals. Odds: 1.57 – Safe Kelly: 4%
- Over 2.5 goals – Low risk (probability: 52%) According to the stats, both teams played goal-filled matches in the first round, so it seems likely that there will be several goals in this match. Odds: 1.68 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-risk tip:
- Kai Havertz to score anytime – Medium risk (probability: 40%) Havertz performed well in the first match and will remain a threat to the Dutch defense in his attacking role. Odds: 3.00 – Safe Kelly: 0.5%