European Championship, June 21, 2024
Analysis Based on Statistics and Expert Analysis of the Netherlands and France
Netherlands Statistical Data
- Goals and Attacks: Wout Weghorst has shown outstanding form with 7 goals, and Cody Gakpo has also performed excellently with 4 goals and 2 assists. Memphis Depay and Xavi Simons are also key players with offensive potential.
- Defense: Virgil van Dijk and Nathan Aké provide stability in defense. Goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen has an impressive save rate (82.4%).
- Form: The Dutch team has shown stable performance recently, securing victories against Scotland, Canada, and Iceland, and defeating Poland in a close match.
France Statistical Data
- Goals and Attacks: The French attack is very strong even without Mbappé. Ousmane Dembélé, Antoine Griezmann, and Olivier Giroud all pose significant goal threats.
- Defense: Led by Dayot Upamecano and Lucas Hernández, the defense is solid. Goalkeeper Mike Maignan is in excellent form.
- Form: France is also in strong form, having defeated Germany and Italy, although they drew with Turkey.
Comparison of Player Statistics and Expected Starting Lineups
- Absentees: The absence of Kylian Mbappé from the French team is significant, but the Dutch team has a full squad available.
- Formations: The Dutch will likely play in a 4-2-3-1 formation, while the French will use a 4-3-3 formation. Both teams have strong midfields and fast wingers.
Expert Analyses and Motivation
Experts suggest that the Dutch team is highly motivated to prove themselves against their major rival, especially in Mbappé’s absence, which potentially eases their defensive task. France, on the other hand, is experienced and always performs exceptionally well in major tournaments.
Betting Suggestions
Low Risk Bet
- Under 3.5 goals in the match: Both teams have stable defenses, and in a high-stakes match, fewer goals are likely. (Low risk)
Medium Risk Bet
- Draw as the Match Result: Both teams are strong, and a close, balanced match is expected. (Medium risk)
- Over 2.5 yellow cards: The high stakes of the match will likely lead to a tense game with more fouls. (Medium risk)
- Over 8.5 corners: Given both teams’ attacking mindset and frequent crosses, more corners are expected. (Medium risk)
Conclusion
Based on the statistical data and expert analyses, the match is expected to be tight. The Dutch team is motivated to capitalize on Mbappé’s absence, while France’s experience and strong squad ensure they won’t have it easy. The safest bet is on the number of goals, while yellow cards and a draw carry medium risk.