Analysis
Monaco’s current form is erratic, especially in 2025, where they’ve only secured seven wins out of their 13 matches so far. It’s worth noting that their xG (expected goals) stats often surpass those of their opponents, yet they frequently come up short. This inconsistency is significantly affecting their position in Ligue 1 and international cups. A standout player for the team is Mika Biereth, who quickly became a key figure in their attack, but the injury to Folarin Balogun is a significant blow.
Reims’ performance has also declined recently, particularly in Ligue 1, where they haven’t won in 12 matches. Nevertheless, their triumphs in cup games, specifically the penalty shootout victory against Monaco, might provide a confidence boost. The Japanese contingent, especially Keito Nakamura and Junya Ito, are crucial players in their attacking game. However, difficulties with defensive discipline and numerous yellow cards are among the reasons for their struggles.
Recommendations
Low Risk
- Both teams to score – Probability: 61.34% Both Monaco and Reims have a tendency for both teams to find the net, particularly since their defensive stats don’t highlight dominance over their opponents. Based on Reims’ away form, they might be able to score at least once.
- Monaco to score more than 0.5 goals – Probability: 85.49% Their most effective attackers exploit minimal defensive opportunities, ensuring they score at least once. Reims’ current form also supports this possibility.
Medium Risk
- Over 2.5 goals – Probability: 61.9% Given the nature of previous encounters between these teams and their current form, goal scoring is expected, mainly due to Monaco and Reims’ tendency for evenly matched games.
Observations
It’s interesting to note that while Monaco dominates statistical metrics (like xG), the results don’t fully reflect this dominance. Reims’ form is poor, but they’re capable of surprises with more coherent play in cup matches.