France, Ligue 1
March 2, 2025
Analysis
From the statistical analysis of Gent’s matches, it reveals that Lyon’s team has shown mixed form in their recent Ligue 1 matches. Overall, they have wrapped up the recent period with six wins, six draws, and four losses. According to xG data, Lyon can typically expect to score more goals than they actually have, suggesting they need some improvements in their attacking efficiency.
Brest’s form isn’t particularly outstanding, but they have pulled off some surprising victories recently, such as in their match against Reims. Their xG statistics are relatively consistent, indicating they make good use of their opportunities. However, their defense can be vulnerable, as they have conceded three or more goals on several occasions this season.
Recommendations
Low-risk bets
- Match result: Lyon win or draw (1X)
Chance: 65%
Reasoning: Considering Lyon’s strong home performance this season (with six wins in 11 home matches) and their long-standing success against Brest at home, the 1X bet seems like a safe choice. - Total match goals: Over 2.5 goals
Chance: 55%
Reasoning: Matches involving both teams typically have multiple goals. In three of Lyon’s last five matches, there have been three or more goals.
Medium-risk bets
- Both teams to score (BTTS)
Chance: 52%
Reasoning: In Lyon’s recent matches, goal-scoring opportunities regularly arise for both sides. In Brest’s last three matches, both teams found the back of the net. - Lyon to win and total over 2.5 goals
Chance: 51%
Reasoning: Given Lyon’s home dominance and Brest’s vulnerable defense, a high-scoring match with a Lyon victory seems likely.
Interesting facts
Based on Lyon’s home performance this season, they have earned a total of 20 points, making them one of the strongest home teams in Ligue 1. They’ve particularly excelled against Brest at home in recent years.
Brest has remained unbeaten in their last four away matches. This improving form might give them some optimism, although there are still many challenges ahead.