21/05/2024
In analysing the Lucerne and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy match, I have made a detailed forecast based on both statistical data and expert analysis. Based on the statistical data, Luzern are the stronger team, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are in significantly weaker form.
Luzern Statistical Data
Team amnesties:
- In the 2023-2024 season, Luzern scored 46 goals and conceded 51 in 37 matches.
- They average 1.24 goals per game, while scoring 1.11 goals.
- Pascal Loretz, the goalkeeper, has a 73.2% save efficiency, which shows the defensive strength of the team.
Player Performance:
- Ardon Jashari scored 5 goals and 3 assists in 35 games.
- Pius Dorn scored 4 goals and 8 assists in 33 games.
- Max Meyer has 5 goals and 1 assist in 35 games.
Tactics and Playing Style:
- Luzern dominate in possession and passing, especially in midfield with Jashari and Dorn.
- The team tends to attack from the wings, with Meyer and Villiger.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Statistics Data
Team amnesties:
- In 37 games, the team scored 38 goals and conceded 76, showing a significant defensive weakness.
- On average they score 2.05 goals per match, while they only score 1.00 goals.
- Goalkeeper Jérémy Vachoux has a 69.5% save percentage, which is lower than Loretz.
Player Performance:
- Alban Ajdini scored 8 goals and 2 assists in 35 games.
- Ismaël Gharbi has 6 goals and 6 assists in 28 games.
- Elies Mahmoud has 3 goals and 5 assists in 31 games.
Tactics and Playing Style:
- Lausanne-Ouchy often struggle in possession and tend to rely on quick counter attacks.
- The team’s defence is weak and they tend to score easily, especially in the defensive midfield and defensive positions.
Interesting Facts from Expert Analysis
The experts point out that Luzern put in a strong performance at home, while Lausanne-Ouchy struggled to adapt to the first division. Luzern’s four home defeats all season show they are stable at home. In addition, Lausanne-Ouchy have failed to score in five of their last seven matches, indicating serious problems in their attacking play.
Player and Lineup Comparison
Luzern Expected Line-up:
- Captain: Loretz
- Defenders: Ulrich, Ottiger, Lofgren, Frydek
- Midfielders: Haas, Jashari, Dorn
- Attackers: Meyer, Villiger, Ademi
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Expected line-up:
- Captain: Vachoux
- Defenders: Gassama, Kadima, Hajrulahu, Ouedraogo, Heule
- Midfielders: Mahmoud, Bayard, Akichi, Gharbi
- Attackers: Ajdini
Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips
- Luzern win (Low risk):
- Lucerne are a stronger team and they play at home, where they have been solid all season. Lausanne-Ouchy are in poor form and have been eliminated for sure.
- Both teams score goals: NO (Medium risk):
- Lausanne-Ouchy have failed to score in five of their last seven matches and with Luzern’s strong defence, they are likely to struggle to score again.
- Luzern scores less than 2.5 goals (Low risk):
- Luzern’s defence is solid and Lausanne-Ouchy’s attack is weak.
- Max Meyer or Ardon Jashari scores (Medium risk):
- Both players are in good form and play an important role in the team’s attacking play.
Summary
Based on the statistics and expert analysis, Luzern is the more favoured team in this match. In addition to their solid defence and strong home performance, Lausanne-Ouchy’s poor form and attacking difficulties contribute to the likelihood of a win for Luzern. When betting, it’s worth focusing on a win for Luzern and the few goals conceded.