FRANCE: Ligue 1 – Matchday 18
1. Team Statistics and Performances
Nice Team Statistics:
- Nice achieved a 4-2 victory against Reims and have earned 20 points from the last 27.
- Their attacking game is the key to their success, as they have only lost once in their last 13 matches.
- With a high xG (expected goals) value (for example, an xG of 4.7 in one match), their strong offensive potential is evident, especially with Gaetan Laborde in good form.
Lille Team Statistics:
- Lille is unbeaten in their last 20 matches, which is a club record.
- Strong defense: Their xGA (expected goals against) values are low, such as 0.1 against Angers.
- In midfield, Benjamin André and in defense, Alexsandro Ribeiro play crucial roles with high ball recovery rates.
2. Player Statistics Highlights
Nice:
- Gaetan Laborde: Scored four goals in the last three matches.
- Evann Guessand: 8 goals and 4 assists in 17 matches.
- In defense, Moïse Bombito’s 42.6% aerial duel success rate is important for set pieces.
Lille:
- Jonathan David: 11 goals in 17 matches.
- Bafodé Diakité: Best aerial duel success rate at 73.1%.
- Goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier has been stable, with an onxGA of 20.4.
Medium Risk Tips:
- Both Teams to Score (Probability: 55.22%)
- Both teams have strong attacking play and have often scored in their recent matches.
Odds: 1.70 – Kelly: 1%
- Draw (Probability: 25.1%)
- This pairing is known for draws; 9 of the last 16 Lille-Nice encounters ended this way.
Odds: 3.75 – Kelly: 1%
4. Surprises and Interesting Facts
- Lille’s 20-match unbeaten streak is unique in the club’s history, but against Nice, they have only won twice in the last 16 home encounters.
- Expert analysis suggests a Lille win is the most likely outcome, but data shows that a draw and a Nice win also have considerable chances.
5. Conclusion
The match is balanced, and according to the statistics, neither team stands out significantly. It is advisable to base the betting strategy on the less risky options, particularly “both teams to score” and the draw outcomes. Gaetan Laborde’s performance is worth highlighting among the players.