1. Team Performance and Form
- Leicester City: Having a tough season, currently fighting against relegation. Lost 9 out of their last 10 league matches. Particularly weak at home, losing their last 5 home matches, conceding 11 goals without scoring a single one.
- Brentford: In good form recently, especially away. They won their last 3 away matches and have the best record for goals scored in the first 10 minutes of matches all season.
2. Key Statistical Indicators
- Leicester’s Offense:
- Scored few goals (0 goals in the last 5 home games).
- Poor xG (expected goals) metrics (e.g., 0.4 xG at home against Aston Villa).
- Jamie Vardy scored 7 goals, but the team is not creating enough chances for him.
- Brentford’s Offense:
- Bryan Mbeumo is the team’s top scorer (14 goals).
- Kevin Schade scores early, and the team has scored 7 goals in the first 10 minutes – leading the league in this metric.
- Defensive Data:
- Leicester has a 23.38% chance of not scoring.
- Brentford has a 76.28% probability of scoring at least one goal.
- Leicester’s xGA (expected goals against) is very high – over 2.0 in several matches.
Betting Tips and Recommendations
🔹 Low-risk Tip:
- Brentford draw no bet (Asian Handicap 0) – 62% chance
- Leicester is in terrible form at home, Brentford is gaining momentum.
Odds: 1.47 – Kelly: 2%
🔹 Medium-risk Tip:
- Over 2.5 goals in the match – 55.22% chance
- Brentford has recently been creating plenty of chances, and for Leicester, it’s a “do or die” match.
Odds: 1.57 – Kelly: 1%
Surprising Statistical Insights
📌 Brentford is league-leading in goals scored in the first 10 minutes (7 goals) – worth betting on a goal within the first 10 minutes of the match.
📌 Leicester has lost 5 home games in a row, conceding 11 goals and scoring none – this alone says a lot about the team’s current state.
📌 According to statistics, the most likely final score is 2-1 in favor of Leicester (8.43% chance) or 1-2 in favor of Brentford (8.34% chance).
Conclusion
Brentford is in much better form, especially away. Leicester has been very weak at home recently. Based on the data and trends, safer bets would be for Brentford to score points, for there to be more than 2.5 goals in the match, and for Brentford to score at least one goal.
ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 26
1. Team Performance and Form
- Leicester City: Having a tough season, currently fighting against relegation. Lost 9 out of their last 10 league matches. Particularly weak at home, losing their last 5 home matches, conceding 11 goals without scoring a single one.
- Brentford: In good form recently, especially away. They won their last 3 away matches and have the best record for goals scored in the first 10 minutes of matches all season.
2. Key Statistical Indicators
- Leicester’s Offense:
- Scored few goals (0 goals in the last 5 home games).
- Poor xG (expected goals) metrics (e.g., 0.4 xG at home against Aston Villa).
- Jamie Vardy scored 7 goals, but the team is not creating enough chances for him.
- Brentford’s Offense:
- Bryan Mbeumo is the team’s top scorer (14 goals).
- Kevin Schade scores early, and the team has scored 7 goals in the first 10 minutes – leading the league in this metric.
- Defensive Data:
- Leicester has a 23.38% chance of not scoring.
- Brentford has a 76.28% probability of scoring at least one goal.
- Leicester’s xGA (expected goals against) is very high – over 2.0 in several matches.
Betting Tips and Recommendations
🔹 Low-risk Tip:
- Brentford draw no bet (Asian Handicap 0) – 62% chance
- Leicester is in terrible form at home, Brentford is gaining momentum.
Odds: 1.47 – Kelly: 2%
🔹 Medium-risk Tip:
- Over 2.5 goals in the match – 55.22% chance
- Brentford has recently been creating plenty of chances, and for Leicester, it’s a “do or die” match.
Odds: 1.57 – Kelly: 1%
Surprising Statistical Insights
📌 Brentford is league-leading in goals scored in the first 10 minutes (7 goals) – worth betting on a goal within the first 10 minutes of the match.
📌 Leicester has lost 5 home games in a row, conceding 11 goals and scoring none – this alone says a lot about the team’s current state.
📌 According to statistics, the most likely final score is 2-1 in favor of Leicester (8.43% chance) or 1-2 in favor of Brentford (8.34% chance).
Conclusion
Brentford is in much better form, especially away. Leicester has been very weak at home recently. Based on the data and trends, safer bets would be for Brentford to score points, for there to be more than 2.5 goals in the match, and for Brentford to score at least one goal.