Asia: World Cup Qualifier – Third Round – 1st Matchday, September 5, 2024
Key Points from the Analysis:
Form and Winning Chances:
- Iraq dominated the second qualifying round, finishing with six victories. They have won seven out of their last eight matches, making them particularly strong at home.
- Oman also performed well but with less convincing results. Their 0-1 loss to Kyrgyzstan particularly weakens their overall standing.
- According to statistical models, Iraq has a 37.9% chance of winning, while Oman has a 34.45% chance.
Goal Statistics and Forwards:
- Iraq: In the attack, Aymen Hussein stands out, having scored 4 goals in 5 matches. Additionally, Ali Jasim and Amir Al Ammari are both midfielders capable of scoring goals, offering further support to the team.
- Oman: Among the forwards, Muhsen Al Ghassani and Issam Al Sabhi are the top scorers. However, Oman scored fewer goals during the qualifiers, which may pose a challenge against Iraq’s defense.
Medium-Risk Bet:
- Oman +1 Asian Handicap (Our bet wins if Oman manages at least a draw. If Oman loses by 1 goal, the stake is refunded.)
- Although Iraq has a strong attack, Oman’s defense could limit scoring opportunities.
- Risk Level: Medium
- Odds: 1.68 – Safe Kelly: 2%