ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 19
Team Statistics:
Ipswich Team Stats:
- Weaknesses:
- Low goal-scoring efficiency, with a significant gap between expected goals (xG) and actual goals. This may indicate poor form from the attackers.
- Terrible home form: they have not won a single match out of 9 home games, earning only 4 points.
- Defensively: High goals against (GA), especially against stronger teams. For example, they suffered a 4-0 defeat against Newcastle.
Chelsea Team Stats:
- Strengths:
- Excellent away form, with the only loss being to Liverpool away from home.
- xG values reflect the effectiveness of the attacking line, especially in midfield and forward positions.
- They have finished every calendar year with a victory since 2011.
Player Statistics:
Ipswich Player Stats:
- Liam Delap is the most productive attacker, with 6 goals in 16 matches.
- Leif Davis stands out in defensive stats, but the defense as a whole provides weak support.
- Omari Hutchinson and Sam Morsy struggle to maintain control in midfield.
Chelsea Player Stats:
- Cole Palmer is in outstanding form: 12 goals and 6 assists in 18 matches.
- Nicolas Jackson is also productive as an attacker, scoring 9 goals.
- Moisés Caicedo is an effective midfielder both defensively and offensively.
Recommendations (Betting Tips)
Low-Risk Tips:
- Chelsea win
- Probability: 63.57%
- Reasoning: Strong away form and Ipswich’s poor home record.
Odds: 1.42 – Kelly: 3%
Medium-Risk Tips:
- Cole Palmer to score
- Probability: High probability (based on current form).
- Reasoning: Based on his form and attacking efficiency.
Odds: 1.88 – Kelly: 1%
- Over 3.5 total cards
- Probability: Medium
- Reasoning: Ipswich might attempt to disrupt Chelsea’s creative players aggressively.
Odds: 1.45 – Kelly: 1%
Interesting Facts:
- Chelsea has experienced an unexpected slump in their last two matches, but this is likely just a temporary dip in form.
- Ipswich tends to play competitive matches against big teams based on historical data, but with their current form, they have little chance.
- Expert analysis highlights that Ipswich is at a disadvantage if they concede early, a stat confirmed by the data.
These betting tips and analyses can help in making informed decisions about the outcome of the match.